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Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk Odds & Preview – Champions League Group Stage Matchday 4

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Updated Nov 2, 2021 · 7:20 AM PDT

Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Real Madrid's head coach Carlo Ancelotti gives instructions during the Champions League group D soccer match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid at the Olympiyskiy stadium in Kyiv, Ukraine, Tuesday, Oct. 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)
  • Real Madrid and Shakhtar Donetsk matchup at the Bernabeu on Wednesday, November, 3rd
  • Los Blancos are top of Group D despite their shock defeat to FC Sheriff on Matchday 2
  • Read below for the latest Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk odds, betting preview and a prediction

Real Madrid is heavily favored for the visit of Shakhtar Donetsk on Wednesday, November, 3rd. Matchday 4 of the Champions League Group Stage is pivotal for both clubs. Real can take a massive step towards the knockout rounds with a victory, while it’s a must-win for Shakhtar, who reside bottom of the group with just one point from their first three matches.

Los Blancos hammered Shakhtar 5-0 when these sides met a couple of weeks ago. Shakhtar have put together a run of three consecutive wins domestically since then, and despite the Matchday 3 defeat, they have reason to carry confidence into this fixture, having done the double over Real Madrid in the group stage last season.

Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk RMA -1.5 (-155) | SHK +1.5 (+135) RMA -450 | SHK +1100 | DRAW +600 Ov 3 (-130) | Un 3 (+110)

Odds as of Nov 2 at DraftKings

Team News

Real Madrid is without several attacking options for Wednesday’s match. The result could be a rare start for Eden Hazard.

Isco, Gareth Bale and Marco Asensio are all ruled out. Rodrygo limped off at the weekend and won’t be risked for this one. Karim Benzema sat out the win over Elche and is listed as a doubt.

Vinicius Jr is likely the only forward from the 5-0 win who will start on Matchday 4. This Real Madrid attack is considerably less intimidating without Benzema and Rodrygo. Hazard has just one assist and no goals in over 400 minutes of La Liga and Champions League action this term.

Shakhtar is missing plenty of attacking talent, too. Pedrinho, Lassina Traore and Yevhen Konoplyanka are ruled out for the match in the Spanish capital. The Ukrainian side have scored 15 goals in their last four domestic matches, but they are yet to find the net in the Champions League.

Shakhtar’s Misfortune

As ever in the Champions League Group Stage, we’re dealing with small samples, but the statistics so far suggest Shakhtar has been unlucky. They have conceded seven and not scored despite generating 2.6 expected goals and conceding just 4.6 xG.

This team is clearly better than its results have shown, and while they are missing some attacking options, they still have the talent to cause Real some problems.

Their last meeting might not suggest a competitive match this time around, but Real Madrid are far from invincible at home. Carlo Ancelotti’s team have not won in three consecutive home matches, scoring just one goal over that period. They have also lost three of their last eight at home in the Champions League.

Real has gone unbeaten since the international break, but Ancelotti’s side are still vulnerable to an upset here. If they are without Rodrygo and Benzema, there’s reason to be concerned about their attack despite hammering Shakhtar last month.

Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk Champions League Statistics

Real Madrid
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk
WLW Form LDL
7 Goals scored 0
62.4% Average possession 60.0%
3 yellows, 0 reds Cards 1 yellow, 0 reds
22 Shots per match 13
54% Shots inside the area 41%
+1.37 Expected goal difference per 90 -0.65

Visitors to Cover

Shakhtar have been a real disappointment in the Champions League this season. Roberto De Zerbi has been unable to get his side to replicate their domestic form in European action, and they face an uphill battle to qualify for the last 16. As they showed last season, though, they are a dangerous team, and they head to the Bernabeu with nothing to lose.

Real should be able to control the game. Luka Modric, Toni Kroos and Casemiro will enable the hosts to dictate the tempo, but we have seen they can be caught out on the break. With just three clean sheets in nine matches, there’s value on Shakhtar to score over 0.5 goals at -105.

The visitors should get on the scoresheet, enabling them to keep this close. Missing such key players through injury could make it a tricky night for Real’s attack.

Pick: Shakhtar Donetsk +1.5 (+135)

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