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UEFA World Cup Qualifying Odds & Picks – Matchday 7 (Oct 8)

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Updated Oct 7, 2021 · 8:18 AM PDT

UEFA World Cup Qualifying
Memphis Depay of the Netherlands applauds to cheering fans after the World Cup 2022 group G qualifying soccer match between the Netherlands and Turkey at the Johan Cruyff ArenA in Amsterdam, Netherlands, Tuesday, Sept. 7, 2021. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)
  • Friday is packed with UEFA World Cup Qualifying matches, including Germany and the Netherlands
  • Teams are well into their qualification campaigns as Matchday 7 approaches
  • Read below for the latest FIFA World Cup Qualifying odds & picks

Matchday 7 of UEFA World Cup Qualifying is here. Friday, October 8th has 11 fixtures, featuring some of the continent’s strongest teams. While they have qualification all but secured already, others are entering must-win territory. The Czech Republic and Wales matchup in Group E, for instance, in a fixture that could define each of their campaigns.

While Turkey and Norway look to chase down the Netherlands, Montenegro faces Gibraltar with the chance to put the pressure on the top three in Group G. Out in Group H, Croatia can put themselves within touching distance of qualification with a win over Cyprus, while Slovenia needs a victory on their trip to Malta.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying Odds Matchday 7

Matchup Home Draw Away
Czech Republic vs Wales -140 +270 +425
Turkey vs Norway +120 +260 +225
Iceland vs Armenia +120 +230 +255
Estonia vs Belarus +140 +225 +215
Liechtenstein vs North Macedonia +1600 +800 -650
Gibraltar vs Montenegro +2200 +900 -900
Cyprus vs Croatia +1100 +500 -370
Germany vs Romania -900 +850 +2200
Latvia vs Netherlands +2800 +950 -1100
Malta vs Slovenia +650 +300 -195

Odds as of Oct 7 at DraftKings

Turkey vs Norway Prediction

Group G is set up for drama. Norway are level with the Netherlands on 13 points. Turkey sits just two points behind them. This matchup in Istanbul is huge for both teams, particularly a Turkey side who disappointed so much at the Euros last summer.

Norway took seven points from three matches in September, and have their most talented squad in decades. Ståle Solbakken has some selection issues ahead of this fixture, however. Erling Haaland has withdrawn from the squad through injury, providing a massive boost to Turkey. Kristoffer Ajer, Jonas Svensson and Joshua King are also unavailable.

Turkey is also missing some key men, including Caglar Soyuncu and Ozan Kabak. None of their absentees are anywhere near as important as Haaland, though.

Norway has sufficient depth to be competitive even without core players, but a Turkey win still looks like the best bet. The Crescent-Stars have been notoriously inconsistent of late – they should have no problem bouncing back from the 6-1 defeat to the Netherlands in September.

Pick: Turkey Moneyline (+120)

Germany vs Romania Prediction

With five wins from six matches, Germany is sitting comfortably atop Group J. Having lost to North Macedonia in March, though, a slip up in Hamburg on Friday would make life a little bit tricky for Hansi Flick’s team.

Romania has plenty to play for. Currently third in the group, they could leapfrog Armenia with a victory. While the bookies understandably don’t fancy their chances, Romania come into this match in good form having kept three consecutive clean sheets.

Mirel Radoi has favored a 4-3-3 in recent qualifiers, but he could switch things up for this match. Romania kept Germany to just one goal in their previous meeting in the group. Another steely defensive performance is required if they are to take anything from Volksparkstadion on Friday.

Given their resolute defense in the previous meeting and their strong defensive record of late, Romania +2.5 represents good value here.

Pick: Romania +2.5 (-125)

Latvia vs Netherlands Prediction

Latvia has never scored in four meetings with the Netherlands. The hosts are fifth in Group G, facing a Dutch team which has scored 10 goals across its last two matches. Even with Georginio Wijnaldum and Steven Bergwijn unavailable, Louis van Gaal has plenty of options in his squad.

The hosts have won just once in the group so far. A draw with Montenegro in their last outing was a positive result, but they were thoroughly outplayed when they faced the Netherlands earlier in the year. The Oranje had 77% possession and 36 shots in their 2-0 victory.

Memphis Depay scored five goals in last two international matches. Cody Gakpo has been in good form for PSV Eindhoven. The Dutch attack should be more clinical than it was back in March, resulting in a comfortable away win.

Depay to score two or more at +200 is a tempter, but a same-game parlay is the best way to find value in this one.

Pick: Netherlands to win, Depay to score anytime and over 3.5 total goals (+120)

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