Upcoming Match-ups

Vienna Erste Bank Open Odds & Preview: Zverev the Favorite in Strong Draw

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Oct 24, 2021 · 9:47 AM PDT

Andy Murray holding trophy
Andy Murray of Great Britain holds the trophy after winning the final match against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga of France at the Erste Bank Open tennis tournament in Vienna, Austria, Sunday, Oct. 30, 2016. (AP Photo/Ronald Zak)
  • The world No. 1 and No. 2 are absent, but the 2021 Vienna Erste Bank Open draw is loaded
  • No. 2 seed Alexander Zverev is the most accomplished indoor hard-court player in the draw
  • Read on for tournament information, odds and predictions for this ATP Tour 500 event

If the top two players in the world were in Vienna this week, Alexander Zverev might only be third on the list of favorites to win the Erste Bank Open.

As accomplished a hard-court player as he is – especially indoors – the other two are better.

But the 24-year-old German’s big serve puts him at the top of the list.

Erste Bank Open Singles Odds

Seed Player Odds
[2]  Alexander Zverev (GER) +260
[1] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) +550
[7] Jannik Sinner (ITA +600
[3] Matteo Berrettini (ITA) +900
Gaël Monfils (FRA) +1200
[5] Hubert Hurkacz (POL) +1400
[4] Casper Ruud (NOR) +1600
[6] Félix Auger-Aliassime (CAN) +1600
[8] Diego Schwartzman (ARG) +2000
Lorenzo Sonego (ITA) +2500
Cameron Norrie (GBR) +2500
Pablo Carreño Busta (ESP) +2500
Andy Murray (GBR) +2800
Lloyd Harris (RSA) +2800
Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) +3300
Nikoloz Basilashvili (GEO) +5000
Reilly Opelka (USA) +6600

Odds as of Oct. 24 at Bet365

Only One Former Champion in the Field

The Vienna field is always solid.  But this year, the St. Petersburg tournament takes place the same week (instead of September – fun fact, Andrey Rublev is the defending champion in both tournaments this week).

So the bigger 500 tournament misses out on top Russians Rublev, Karen Khachanov and Aslan Karatsev as well as Canadian Denis Shapovalov.

As well, local Austrian star Dominic Thiem remains on the disabled list with a wrist issue.

YouTube video

Which doesn’t mean the field still isn’t top-class.

But the only player who has ever won the tournament is wild card Andy Murray, all the way back in 2014 and 2016.

Easier Draw for Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas has four indoor hard-court titles to his name – most notably the ATP Tour Finals in 2019. And every time he’s made a final, he’s won.

He has a (relatively) easier route than his rival Zverev. But he’ll need a second wind; no one has played more matches in 2021.

Tsitsipas didn’t play last week, though. And Antwerp finalists Jannik Sinner and Diego Schwartzman are both in his half and will come in a little jaded.

But first he must get past unseeded Grigor Dimitrov.

The Bulgarian defeated Tsitsipas in the second round in the Greek’s Vienna debut a year ago. And Dimitrov wasn’t playing nearly as well then, as he is now. That’s another match to watch.

In-Form Players in Zverev’s Half

Meanwhile, Zverev has Indian Wells finalists Cameron Norrie and Nikoloz Basilashvili – both dangerous unseeded floaters – in his half. They’ve had a couple of weeks to rest and recharge.

Zverev hasn’t played Vienna in four years, and even then only twice in his career.

He more often played the Basel event on a super-fast court that week (for the second straight year, Basel is not being held).

Previous Este Bank Open Winners and Finalists

Year Champion Finalist
2020 [5] Andrey Rublev (RUS) [LL] Lorenzo Sonego (ITA)
2019 [1] Dominic Thiem (AUT) [5] Diego Schwartzman (ARG)
2018 [2] Kevin Anderson (RSA) [5] Kei Nishikori (JPN)
2017 Lucas Pouille (FRA) [8] Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA)
2016 [1] Andy Murray (GBR) [6] Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA)

First-Round Matches to Watch

Hubert Hurkacz (-185) vs Andy Murray (+140)

Wild card Andy Murray has shown in recent months that he’s highly competitive with the best players in the world.

His body is holding up. But his decision-making has let him down in crucial moments. And close hasn’t been good enough to get on a run; unseeded, he’s had some tough draws.

And so he gets Hubert Hurkacz in the first round – again. The Polish player has beaten him twice in the last few months – both times by identical 7-6 (4), 6-3 scores.

Hurkacz has a lot to play for; he’s in a tight battle with several other players for the last two available spots at the ATP Tour Finals in Turin. But so does Murray.

Diego Schwartzman (-320) vs Fabio Fognini (+230)

Schwartzman has had a busy week in Antwerp, where he was trying to win his first indoor event. He made the finals there in 2016 and 2017, too. But he’s now 0-for-3.

But he’s going to arrive in Austria a little worn out  The Argentine played a ton the last few months – including the Olympics, Davis Cup down in Argentina and Laver Cup.

Fognini, who has never done particularly well in Vienna, is a +230 underdog. But given the circumstances and the Italian’s relative freshness, he’s a good bet for a first-round surprise.

Best Bet: Stefanos Tsitsipas (+550)

Longer shot: Hubert Hurkacz (+1400)

Author Image