2020 PGA Championship Props and Best Bets
- The PGA Championship from TPC Harding Park runs August 6th-9th in the year’s first major championship
- There are a ton of specials and prop bets available across the leading sportsbook this weekend
- We’ve rounded up the best prop bets for your card below
The first major of 2020 is finally upon us as 95 of the top 100 players in the world are teeing it up with Brooks Koepka and Justin Thomas the betting co-favorites at the PGA Championship.
Back in January, Koepka and Rory McIlroy were +900 favorites to win the Wanamaker trophy, and their PGA Championship odds have fluctuated to the point that you could’ve got Koepka at +2000 just last month and can now snag McIlroy at +1500.
There are plenty of prop bets that you can wager on for the first major of the season and we’ve rounded them all up.
2020 PGA Championship Prop Bets and Odds
| Prop | Yes Odds | No Odds at DraftKings |
|---|---|---|
| Hole in one in the tournament | +100 | -134 |
| Rory McIlroy hole in one in tournament | +8000 | N/A |
| Brooks Koepka hole in one in tournament | +8000 | N/A |
| Justin Thomas hole in one in tournament | +8000 | N/A |
| Bryson DeChambeau hole in one in tournament | +8000 | N/A |
| Two or more holes in one in the tournament | +400 | -625 |
| Albatross in the tournament | +2000 | N/A |
| Will there be a wire-to-wire winner? | +1200 | -5000 |
| Winner to play in final 1st tee grouping in final round | -250 | +185 |
| Winner to be decided in a playoff | +400 | -670 |
| Winner to be decided in a 3-man playoff | +1600 | -10000 |
| Winner to be decided in a 4+ man playoff | +4000 | N/A |
| Winning Margin | 1 stroke (+225), 2 strokes (+350), 3 strokes (+550) | 4 strokes or more (+275), After a playoff (+400) |
| Top Left Hander | Phil Mickelson (+175), Bubba Watson (+200) | Robert McIntyre (+345), Brian Harman (+435) |
| Rory McIlroy eagle in tournament | +185 | -250 |
| Brooks Koepka eagle in tournament | +185 | -250 |
| Justin Thomas eagle in tournament | +185 | -250 |
| Bryson DeChambeau eagle in tournament | +120 | -159 |
| Rory McIlroy eagle in first round | +550 | -1000 |
| Rory McIlroy eagle in second round | +550 | -1000 |
| Brooks Koepka eagle in first round | +550 | -1000 |
| Brooks Koepka eagle in second round | +550 | -1000 |
| Justin Thomas eagle in first round | +550 | -1000 |
| Justin Thomas eagle in second round | +550 | -1000 |
| Bryson DeChambeau eagle in first round | +400 | -670 |
| Bryson DeChambeau eagle in second round | +400 | -670 |
All odds taken August 5th
McIlroy Is a Par 5 Eagle Machine
Among the big four golfers who are on the board to make an eagle this week, Rory McIlroy is surprisingly leaps and bounds ahead of the other three in terms of registering eagles on par 5’s this season.
There will only be two par 5’s this week at TPC Harding Park, so the opportunities to make an eagle will be much shorter. The Ulsterman is tied for third in par 5 eagles with a whopping eleven, which is far more than Bryson DeChambeau, Justin Thomas and Brooks Koepka.
Par 5 Eagles This Season Among Big Four Golfers
| Player | Par 5 Eagles |
|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 11 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 5 |
| Justin Thomas | 3 |
| Brooks Koepka | 2 |
The odds are the same for McIlroy, Thomas and Koepka (+185) that they’ll record an eagle this week, with DeChambeau even lower (+120), because of his penchant for smashing mammoth drives which could lead to an eagle on a par 4.
If you’re deciding on who to bet on, the choice is clearly McIlroy, given that he’s tied for first in holes per eagle.
Pick: Rory McIlroy makes eagle in tournament (+185)
The Winner Has Come From Final Group in Recent Years
In seven of the last eight PGA Championships, the winner has been in the final pairing on Sunday afternoon, with Justin Thomas being the lone exception at the 2017 tournament.
The prop bet lists a yes outcome for the winner coming from the final group on Sunday at -250 compared to +185 for it to be someone behind the leading twosome.
PGA Championship – 7#FedExCup – 5
TOUR wins – 113The group of @TigerWoods, @JustinThomas34 & @McIlroyRory will be fun to watch @TPCHardingPark. pic.twitter.com/ECw3Lt4ajL
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) August 4, 2020
With TPC Harding Park expected to be a stern test with penal rough and tight fairways, it’s not likely that someone will shoot a blistering final round from way back to steal victory, meaning it’s a prudent move to stick with recent history repeating itself.
Pick: Winner to play in final 1st tee grouping in final round (-250)
Margin of Victory a Close Call
In the last 22 years of this tournament, only twice has the winner won by four or more shots (Rory McIlroy by eight in 2012, Tiger Woods by five in 2006).
Playoffs have also been rare, with just three since the Tiger-Bob May duel in 2000. Vijay Singh beat Justin Leonard and Chris DiMarco in 2004, Martin Kaymer defeating Bubba Watson in 2010 and Keegan Bradley defeating Jason Dufner in 2011 being the three instances.
Major mood. 😎
It's PGA Championship week! pic.twitter.com/Ww2Pk0DLVs
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) August 3, 2020
The winning score has been exactly three strokes just twice since 1992 (Y.E. Yang 2009, Jason Day 2015), which is a long way of saying it usually comes down to one or two shots, with the last three and four of the last seven iterations being two stroke victories.
Pick: Winning Margin of 2 strokes (+350)
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
