Twins vs Tigers Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 23)

• The Twins are -165 road favorites over the Tigers on Saturday night
• Rookie Joe Ryan (6-3, 2.99) will start for Minnesota against Michael Pineda (2-5, 5.22)
• A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The American League Central-leading Minnesota Twins return from extended time off to visit the Detroit Tigers in the opener of a two-game series at 6:10pm ET Saturday at Comerica Park.

Both teams were off Friday, and the Twins (50-44, 23-22 road) haven’t played since last Sunday, giving them a five-day All-Star break. The Twins lost three of four to the Chicago White Sox last weekend at home to end the first half of the season.

The Tigers (38-56, 23-24 home) split a doubleheader Thursday against the Athletics in Oakland, winning 7-2 in the opener then losing 5-0 in the second game. Detroit has lost five of its last six games and nine of 11.

Twins vs Tigers Odds

Odds as of July 22nd at BetMGM.

The Twins are -165 favorites for an implied win probability of 62.26% Minnesota has +5000 World Series odds and the Tigers’ odds are +10000.

There is a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms but not until 11 p.m., so they should get the game in. The gametime temperature is expected to be 88 degrees with a low of 74, cloudy skies and southwest wind at 6-9 mph.

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Twins vs Tigers Probable Pitchers

Rookie Joe Ryan (6-3, 2.99) is scheduled to pitch for the Twins against Michael Pineda (2-5, 5.22). Ryan, who has +10000 AL Cy Young odds, will be working on nine days of rest and Pineda on six.

Ryan vs Pineda Stats

Ryan is a 1-0 with a 3.29 ERA in his last five starts and had a no-decision in his last outing against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 13 in Minneapolis. He gave up one run and two hits in 5.1 innings while striking out three and walking two.

The Joe Ryan Experience with 7 Ks.

90 career strikeouts = a new franchise record for the most through a pitcher’s first 17 career games. #TwinsWin | #MNTwins pic.twitter.com/bF4nDksWCo

— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) July 2, 2022

Ryan is 1-0 with a 4.63 ERA in two career starts against the Tigers. He has never pitched at Comerica Park.

In six road starts this season, Ryan has a 3-1 record and 2.96 ERA. He is 2-2 with a 3.46 ERA in seven starts in night games. The Twins have a 9-5 record with Ryan on the hill.

Pineda has lost his last two starts and is 1-2 with an 8.76 ERA in his past three outings. He was hammered in a loss to the Guardians in Cleveland last Saturday, getting tagged for eight runs and nine hits in two innings with one strikeout and no walks.

A former Twin, Pineda is 1-2 with a 4.09 ERA against his old team in six career starts.

While he hasn’t always pitched well, Pineda does look sharp wearing the Tigers’ uniform.

Michael Pineda looks good in the Olde English D! pic.twitter.com/OkkSbHYgcD

— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) April 21, 2022

Pineda has a 2-2 record at home this season and a 2.96 ERA in six starts. He has lost all three starts at night with a 4.86 ERA. The Tigers have gone 4-5 in Pineda’s starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

The Twins’ Carlos Correa has had plenty of success against Pineda, batting .423 (11-for-26) with four doubles and three home runs. Max Kepler is 3-for-6 with a double and two homers but Byron Buxton is hitless on seven at-bats while striking out four times.

The Tigers’ Robbie Grossman is 0-for-6 versus Pineda.

Twins vs Tigers Betting Outlook

Grossman doubled twice and drove in three runs to lead the Tigers over the Athletics in the first game of Thursday’s doubleheader. Jeimer Candelario homered.

Payoff pitch and Candy was on the money. 💪 pic.twitter.com/k66AiOCJqO

— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) July 21, 2022

In the second game, the Tigers were blanked on four hits.

The Twins hold a slim 6-5 edge in the season series but have lost four of five games in Detroit.

Gio Urshela is hitting .429 (15-for-35) for the Twins with two doubles and one home run while Kepler is 8-for-29 (.276) with two doubles and four homers. The Tigers’ Harold Castro is 9-for-27 (.333) with two doubles and two longballs.

Hopefully, Urshela can keep a handle on his bat.

https://twitter.com/MrMatthewCFB/status/1548392618551218182

The Twins have dominated the Tigers in recent years, going 60-37 since the start of the 2017 season.

Twins vs Tigers Last 10 Games

Twins vs Tigers Prediction

Pineda has been having hard time gaining much traction in his first season with the Tigers. He looks like a good fade candidate, especially with the skiddoing Tigers matching up with Ryan.

Pick: Twins ML -165