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Heat vs Raptors Odds and Picks

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Updated Feb 1, 2022 · 10:29 AM PST

Gary Trent Jr excited reaction
Jan 31, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Toronto Raptors guard Gary Trent Jr. (33) reacts after making a three-point basket during the second half against the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Toronto Raptors host the Miami Heat three days after 3OT win in Miami
  • Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry are both questionable for Tuesday’s tilt
  • Find the odds, betting analysis, and prediction below

This might be the most grueling stretch of play for the Toronto Raptors this season. If there’s a team that can understand their pain, it’s Tuesday’s opponent — the Miami Heat.

The Heat and Raptors lock horns just three nights after an epic triple OT battle in South Beach. With both teams playing the second game in as many nights, who emerges from this slugfest with a win?

It all gets underway at 7:30pm ET from Scotiabank Arena, and you can watch the game live on NBA League Pass. The home team has been pegged as a 2.5-point favorite.

Heat vs Raptors Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Heat +2.5 (-110) +115 OFF
Toronto Raptors -2.5 (-110) -140 OFF

Odds as of January 31st at BetMGM

Toronto Raptors Betting Analysis

The Raptors’ 106-100 win in Atlanta ended the Hawks’ 7-game win streak. It pushed them to two games over .500 (25-23) and into the 8-spot in the Eastern Conference standings.

Gary Trent Jr led the attack with 31 points and six rebounds. It’s the fourth straight game he’s topped the 30-point plateau, the first Dino to do that since a dude named Kawhi Leonard.

He’s one off the franchise mark held by DeMar DeRozan. Trent did much of his damage from beyond the arc, drilling 9-of-15 from downtown, part of a crisp 18-for-36 mark from three for the Raptors.

Pascal Siakam added 25 points and six boards. He’s gone for 20+ in 10 of his last 12.

A game after all their starters went for 50+ minutes against Miami, Trent Jr and Siakam both played 41 minutes in Atlanta.

Toronto moved to 1.5 games back of 7th-seeded Charlotte, but are still a distant 3.5 back of the Brooklyn Nets for sixth, and out of the play-in fray.

The Raps are just starting this week’s odyssey: after Miami, they have an off day, before another back-to-back, hosting both Chicago and Atlanta.

Miami Heat Betting Analysis

Miami’s first game two days after that 124-120 3OT defeat to Toronto didn’t go so well, both on and off the court.

Jimmy Butler missed Miami’s 122-92 blowout loss to the Celtics Monday as he deals with an ankle injury. Ditto PJ Tucker, not in the lineup with a sore knee, while Kyle Lowry missed his eighth straight game due to personal reasons. The status of all three is yet to be determined.

The Heat were outscored 27-14 in the first quarter against the Celtics, and despite closing the gap in the second quarter, they were blasted 40-25 in the third to blow things open. Max Strus was the team’s leading scorer, putting up 27 points and three boards, scoring all of his buckets via a 9-for-17 mark from downtown.

Tyler Herro, the current overwhelming favorite in the 2022 NBA Sixth Man of the Year odds, shot just 5-for-18 for 13 points, while Bam Adebayo was quiet with 12 points, five rebounds and five assists, as the Heat shot 39.1% from the field.

It was the worst defeat Miami has suffered this season.

At 32-19, the Heat are tied with the 31-18 Chicago Bulls atop the East, though Chicago has two games in hand. With a top-5 offensive and seventh-best defensive rating, expect the vaunted Heat culture to kick in and compete in Toronto.

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Heat vs Raptors Prediction

This is the third of four meetings between these two this season, with the teams splitting the matchups in Miami. In the meeting prior to Saturday, the Heat topped the Raptors in a low-scoring 104-99 affair.

Toronto has actually been a strong bet in a small sample on the second night of back-to-backs: they’re 6-2 ATS, while the Heat are 4-4 .

YouTube video

Miami sports a 15-12 mark ATS on the road, while the Raps are 13-12 ATS at Scotiabank Arena.

There can’t be much left in the tank for both teams as they take the court Tuesday, and there could be an advantage for Miami if Butler and Tucker are able to return after two days off and Lowry returns.

If they are able to go, lean to Miami, but my guess is with a secure spot near the top of the East, the Heat take a more guarded approach to their vets in this back-to-back. Follow the public money and take the Raptors to cover at home.

The pick: Raptors -2.5 (-110)

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