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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Odds and Picks

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in NBA Basketball

Updated Dec 16, 2022 · 2:15 AM PST

Luka Doncic taking on court
Feb 12, 2022; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) reacts during the second quarter against the LA Clippers at American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Mavericks visit the Heat on Tuesday
  • Miami won their first meeting against Dallas earlier in the campaign
  • Find the odds, preview, and prediction below

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks begin a five-game road trip on Tuesday with a tough matchup against the Eastern Conference-leading Miami Heat at FTX Arena in South Beach. The tip-off is scheduled for 7:30pm ET.

Dallas is coming off a loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday, but they’re 6-4 in their last 10 games. As for the Heat, they notched their fifth win in a row over the weekend, beating the slumping Brooklyn Nets at home.

Miami cruised to a 125-110 victory over the Mavs in November on the road, but Dallas won both meetings in 2020/21.

Mavericks vs Heat Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Dallas Mavericks +2.5 (-110) +116 O 209.5 (-110)
Miami Heat -2.5 (-110) -136 U 209.5 (-110)

Odds as of February 14th at FanDuel.

Miami is a 2-point home favorite here and has gone an impressive 19-6 this season in South Beach. The public money is also heavily on the Over 209.5.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

The Mavericks made some noise at the NBA Trade Deadline as they shockingly shipped Kristaps Porzingis to the Washington Wizards in exchange for Spencer Dinwiddie and Davis Bertans.

Both players are expected to make their Dallas debuts on Tuesday against Miami, which is going to give us a glimpse into what this team will look like with these new additions. The Mavs are currently fifth in the West.

Jason Kidd’s squad continues to be one of the better teams in the West lately. Before the defeat to the Clippers, the Mavs won four consecutive contests. It was truly the Luka show vs Los Angeles, with the franchise star erupting for 45 points, 15 rebounds, and eight assists.

Doncic has been playing out of his mind, dropping 51 and 33 points in the two games prior. However, it wasn’t enough for Dallas to come out victorious. The Slovenian didn’t get much help, with just two others finishing in double figures.

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The Mavericks were frankly bodied in the paint, getting outscored 54-38. Kidd’s group also shot a dismal 63% from the charity stripe, which certainly made a difference in the two-point loss.

Nevertheless, it should be interesting to see what Dinwiddie and Bertans bring to the table here. Having another shooter and ball-handler to complement Doncic will be important against a strong Miami squad that prides itself on defense.

Miami Heat Betting Analysis

Miami is one of several teams in the Association that has dealt with a boatload of injuries throughout the campaign. But, they’ve managed to keep winning ballgames thanks to their incredible depth.

The Heat could be without two key figures again on Tuesday, with Jimmy Butler questionable with shoulder soreness, while Tyler Herro, the leading candidate in the 2022 NBA Sixth Man of the Year odds, is sidelined due to a knee contusion. That won’t worry Erik Spoelstra’s team the least though, who are absolutely rolling at the moment.

Behind a lethal all-around performance on Saturday, Miami took down the Nets. Every single player in the rotation aside from Max Strus and Dewayne Dedmon scored at least 10 points, with big man Bam Adebayo leading the charge with 19 and 14 rebounds.

Brooklyn’s defense had no answer for the Heat’s extremely well-rounded attack.

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However, they did almost give up a 21-point lead in the fourth quarter, with Kyrie Irving going for 20 points in the final period alone. Kyle Lowry came up clutch though, picking Cam Thomas’s pocket with just seconds left before PJ Tucker sealed the deal with a pair of free throws.

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Mavericks vs Heat Prediction

Even though both Butler and Herro could be out, I still have full belief in the Heat.

This team is just so deep and always has different players stepping up. Also, I just don’t think the Mavs’ two additions are going to thrive right away. It’s going to take them a game or two to get accustomed to the new surroundings.

Miami plays fantastic at home as well. They’ll cover.

Pick: Heat -2.5 (-110)

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