Upcoming Match-ups

Bears as 5-Point Road Favorites Over Raiders Receiving Most Money from Bettors in Week 5

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in NFL Football

Updated Apr 2, 2020 · 2:31 PM PDT

Chicago Bears linebacker Khalil Mack on the sidelines.
The Chicago Bears are the heaviest bet side of the week. Are they a good bet to win and cover versus Oakland this week? Photo by FOX Sports (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • The Oakland Raiders will be playing their third straight road game this week as they “host” the Chicago Bears in London.
  • The Raiders won as a touchdown-underdog last week at Indianapolis.
  • Get the odds, our pick, and all the info you need to bet the game below

Our first London game of the year features the Chicago Bears and the Oakland Raiders. The Bears are a five-point favorite and according to sportsbooks, are the heaviest bet side of the week, receiving 66% of the action. Are the Bears worth a look in this spot or is the dog the better play in this game?

Chicago Bears vs Oakland Raiders Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Chicago Bears -5 (-110) -220 Over 40 (-105)
Oakland Raiders +5 (-110) +184 Under 40 (-115)

*Odds taken 10/05/19 

Raiders Coming off Impressive Road Win

The Oakland Raiders are technically at home in this contest but it’s actually their third straight game outside of Oakland. They got blown out at Minnesota in Week 3, won at Indianapolis in Week 4 and are now “hosting” the Bears in London in Week 5.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kG8vq76Yq7w

The Bears vs Raiders odds show that while a lot of the public money is on the Bears, the Raiders are getting about 81% of the sharp action on the spread. Part of that is likely because the Raiders played great at Indianapolis last week, winning outright as a seven-point dog. Oakland ran the ball for 188 yards on 32 carries (5.9 per attempt) and will hope to do the same this week.

Mack Faces his Former Team

One of the biggest storylines of this contest is linebacker Khalil Mack facing his former team. The Raiders traded away Mack last offseason and he’s been a monster on the Bears defense ever since. He’ll be going up against an improved Raiders offensive line as free agent signing Trent Brown has helped this unit improve.

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The other key to note is that quarterback Derek Carr has been getting rid of the ball very quickly to help the offensive line. The downside of that is that he’s back to being dump-off Derek, throwing short throws. If the Raiders can’t challenge the Bears defense deep, that’ll make the job for the Bears defense much easier on Sunday.

From Trubisky To Daniel

Of course, one of the other key storylines in this game will be that Bears starting quarterback Mitchell Trubisky is out and the team is going with backup Chase Daniel. The 10-year veteran might be an upgrade over Trubisky, who had shaky confidence in the first three weeks of the season.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XiBXd3TqvPA

While many seem to think that’s the case after Daniel showed well in a Week 4 win at Minnesota, keep in mind there’s a reason why he’s a career backup. We’ll truly find out if he’s an upgrade over Trubisky in this spot as he’s on the road against a defense that’s not great, but has been better than expected.

Raiders Injuries a Concern

The Raiders have a number of key injuries that could have a significant impact on this game. Wideout Tyrell Williams hasn’t practiced all week and while he probably suits up, he’s clearly not 100%. Remember, this is a team that cut Ryan Grant last week and scratched J.J. Nelson pre-game last week.

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On defense, the Raiders have lost linebacker Vontaze Burfict to suspension and have been without rookie safety Jonathan Abrams, who is out for the year. That’s a lot to lose up the middle against a Bears team that’s likely to try and pound the ball in that direction.

What’s The Best Bet?

The Bears look like a good play in this game. The Raiders are playing their third consecutive road game, don’t have a great receiving corps and are missing important pieces on defense. Moreover, Carr is likely to throw a lot of short passes on Sunday, which will make defending the Raiders offense quite easy.

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Carr’s yards-per-attempt has dropped considerably from the 10.0 he averaged in Week 1. He was at just 6.1 last week with 189 yards passing on 31 attempts. As long as the Bears can stop the ground game and Daniel doesn’t make any big mistakes, the Bears should win and cover here.

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