Denver Broncos vs Detroit Lions Prediction, Lines and Odds Week 15 Saturday Night Football
- Week 15 features three games on Saturday and the night-cap has the Lions favored at home over the Broncos on Saturday, December 16, 2023
- Denver is 7-1 to the Over while Detroit is 4-1 to the Over in recent games
- Get the Broncos vs Lions odds, picks, and predictions for Saturday night here
The final game on the Saturday Week 15 schedule sees the Detroit Lions (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) hosting the Denver Broncos (7-6 SU, 5-7-1 ATS) at 8:15 pm EST at Ford Field in Detroit. Denver is coming off of a win, while Detroit off of a loss, but it’s the home team favored by 4.5 points in the Broncos vs Lions odds.
Read on for the full Denver vs Detroit odds and our top Broncos vs Lions prediction here.
Broncos vs Lions Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | +4.5 (-110) | +175 | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Detroit | -4.5 (-110) | -210 | U 47.5 (-110) |
Detroit hosts Denver as 4.5-point favorites in the Broncos vs Lions odds and are priced at -210 on the moneyline. That gives them an implied probability of 67,74% to win the game straight up. ESPN BET has lined this total at 47.5 points with the Over slightly juiced to -115.
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How to Watch Denver vs Detroit
Viewers in the United States can watch this Denver vs Detroit game on Saturday night on NFL Network while viewers in Canada can watch on DAZN or TSN.
Broncos vs Lions Head-to-Head History
Denver is currently undefeated in three games versus Detroit after last winning 38-10 in 2021. The Broncos have won 5/7 recent games and own the all-time edge over the Lions at 9-5.
Denver vs Detroit Public Betting Trends
In NFL public betting, the public has clearly lined up on the side of the Broncos with over 60% of the money and bet percentages on Denver +4.5 in the NFL odds.
The money has also been coming in on the Over pushing it from 46.5 earlier this week to 47.5 now. With over 70% of the money and over 60% of the bets still backing the Over as of late Friday, that number could still rise.
Broncos Betting Preview
After seeing their five-game winning streak come to an end in Week 13, Denver quickly got back to winning ways in Week 14 going to Los Angeles and beating the Chargers 24-7. Denver scored first and never looked back leading 7-0, 10-0 and 17-0 before the Chargers got on the scoreboard in the fourth quarter.
Russell Wilson had 224 yards passing with two touchdowns and one interception. While the Chargers’ Justin Herbert threw for 96 yards and a pick, before getting injured and giving way to Easton Stick who went 13-24 for 179 yards.
Denver is just 5-7-1 ATS this season but are 5-2 ATS in their last seven.
Since their defense has improved after the first few opening weeks, the Broncos have been a stone-cold Under team going 7-1 to the Under in their past eight games. Look at the final scores in their past eight games and scores have totalled 27, 36, 33, 46, 41, 41, 39 and 31 points. Obviously all of those totals would come in under this game’s total of 47.5.
#Broncos–#Lions Key Matchup: Run Defense vs. Prolific RB Duo | via @ErickTrickel
READ: https://t.co/n7oOFYkTCX pic.twitter.com/JqcKA3UE98
— Mile High Huddle (@MileHighHuddle) December 15, 2023
Lions Betting Preview
After going 1-2 in their past three, the Lions are now 9-4 and still lead the NFC North, two games above the 7-6 Vikings. But that gap could close with a loss and Vikings win earlier in the day.
Detroit’s Super Bowl 58 odds are now as short as 18-1 and as long as 22-1 right now.
The Lions suffered a heavy defeat to division rival Chicago last week in losing 28-13. Jared Goff was held to just 161 yards, one TD and two INTs. Goff was sacked four times and the Lions also lost a fumble, losing the turnover batter 3-0. They put up just 267 yards of offense and totalled just 13 first downs.
Amon-Ra St Brown has cooled down in recent weeks with only five combined catches in his past two games and yardage totals of 77, 95, 49 and then 21 last week.
But the biggest story has to be how poor the Lions’ defense has been in giving up 28, 28, 29, 26, 38, 14 and 38 points in their past seven games.
Detroit is 8-5-0 ATS overall but just 1-3 ATS in their past four. Their totals results have gone the complete opposite direction as Denver’s of late as their defense has fallen off of a cliff. The Lions are still usually capable of scoring, but their games have been shootouts and have gone over the total in 4/5 games. The total points in those games have been 79, 57, 51, 61 and 41.
Broncos vs Lions Head-to-Head Stats
| 7-6 / 5-7-1 | Record / ATS | 9-4 / 8-5 |
| 13th (22.1) | PPG Scored | 7th (26.2) |
| 24th | YPG Offense | 3rd |
| 27th | Passing YPG | 7th |
| 13th | Rushing YPG | 5th |
| 23rd (23.8) | PPG Allowed | 25th (24.2) |
| 30th | YPG Allowed | 15th |
| 24th | Passing YPG Allowed | 19th |
| 32nd | Rushing YPG Allowed | 9th |
*Stats heading into Week 15
Broncos vs Lions Prediction
With both C Frank Ragnow and LT Taylor Decker questionable, Goff could be under pressure again Saturday. But then the Broncos will be without their sack leader in LB Nik Bonitto who is out with a knee injury.
Denver is 32nd versus the run, while also allowing the fourth-most receptions and seventh-most receiving yards to running backs. They’re also bad versus TEs giving up the third-most receptions and second-most yards to the position. So this could be a spot to target either running back David Montgomery or Jahmyr Gibbs, or TE Sam LaPorta in the Broncos vs Lions props.
Jared Goff: We're trying to get Amon-Ra St. Brown the ball in different ways. https://t.co/5OeTpqetTS
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) December 14, 2023
The Lions also aren’t great at defending running backs out of the backfield, ranking 21st in receiving yards allowed to running backs. That’s something Denver loves to do with RBs Samaje Perine and Javonte Williams ranked third and fourth respectively in team receptions. Perine is actually only two catches back of Jerry Jeudy (42-40) and 13 back of team leader Courtland Sutton (53-40).
I tihnk there is a path to points for both teams here, but with several favorable matchups in the run and short passing games, perhaps not enough to go over this total.
Broncos vs Lions Picks: Under 47.5 (-110) at ESPN BET
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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com
