NFL Week 15 Player Props – Best Props to Bet for Sunday, December 17

• Online sportsbooks have released NFL Week 15 player props for Sunday, December 17, 2023
• Raheem Mostert has five rushing touchdowns in his past three games. Can he find paydirt again against the Jets?
• See all of this week’s top passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown props to target for NFL Week 15

A full weekend of NFL action is upon us and with it brings another chance to attack the bevy of opporunities in front of us in the NFL player props markets. We have two quarterback props among our bets this week, plus plays on Christian McCaffrey, Puka Nacua, Deebo Samuel and Raheem Mostert. See how we’ve targered these players in this week’s NFL Week 15 player props.

Week 15 NFL Player Props

My Week 15 player props feature plays on two Rams with Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua, another QB prop on Dak Prescott, big days for Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel and Miami RB Raheem Mostert finding the endzone at +110 odds.

When it comes to how to bet on NFL player props, there are endless options and you can bet on almost any position group of players. Read on for our top NFL Week 15 player props for Sunday from a collection of the best sports betting apps.

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Week 15 Passing Props – Matthew Stafford Over 267.5 Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford and the Rams’ offense has been heating up in recent weeks with a 37-14 win, 36-19 win and 37-31 overtime loss last week.

In those games Stafford has thrown for 229, 279 and 294 yards to go with 4, 3, and 3 passing touchdowns.

He gets a great, maybe the best, matchup of the week against this 4-9 Washington team. The Commanders rank 32nd in points per game allowed (30.4), 32nd in yards per game allowed (379.8) and also 32nd in passing yards per game allowed (266). We can go deeper and see they’ve also allowed the most air yards to opposing quarterbacks and given up the most passing touchowns (30) in the league as well.

You could certainly bet Stafford over 1.5 touchdowns, though it’s pretty juiced around -200, so let’s target his passing yards prop of 267.5. Stafford has gone over that numer in each of his past two games, but those are the only two times he’s gone over this total in his last eight games. However, opposing QBs have gone over this number versus Washington in 3/4 and 8/10 recent games.

• NFL Player Prop Picks: Matthew Stafford over 267.5 passing yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Week 15 Passing Props – Dak Prescott Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Dallas has scored 41, 45, 33 and 49 points in their past five games, all wins. Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb look like the top QB-WR duo at the moment with Dak throwing 22 touchdowns in his last seven games, making him number one overall. And Lamb has found the endzone in five straight games.

Dak’s game stats in his past seven games have seen him throw for 271, 299, 331, 189, 404, 374 and 304 yards. His touchdown totals have been 2, 3, 4, 2, 4, 3, and 4 in those games.

• NFL Player Prop Picks: Dak Prescott over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-175); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Dak Prescott's last 7 games:

🌟 2,172 passing yards
🌟 22 passing touchdowns
🌟 2 interceptions
🌟 6-1 record⁰
Is there a better QB in the NFL right now? pic.twitter.com/pT1B3igOht

— NFL on Prime Video (@NFLonPrime) December 11, 2023

Week 15 Rushing Props – Christian McCaffrey Over 88.5 Rushing Yards

Over San Fran’s last five wins, CMC has ripped through the 49ers’ opponents on the ground to the tune of 95, 78, 114, 93 and 145 yards rushing. That’s not even counting his receiving yards of 47, 25, 25, 40 and 8 in those games.

But just focusing on his rushing alone, four of those five totals over the past five weeks would have gone over 88.5. The only time he didn’t, he was playing a team with a good run defense, the Bucs, who rank 10th against the run and give up less than 100 yards per game.

Arizona is not a good run defense. They rank 30th, give up an average of 139.3 yards per game, over 100 yards to opposing rushers (122, 226, 112, 139) in the past four weeks and over 88.5 yards to opposing rushers in 10 of their past 11 games.

• NFL Player Prop Picks: Christian McCaffrey over 88.5 rushing yards (-115); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Week 15 Receiving Props – Puka Nacua Over 66.5 Receiving Yards

It’s hard to nail down which Rams’ receiver is the better bet right now in the NFL Week 15 player props.

On one hand, Cooper Kupp has found the endzone in back-toback games. Last week he caught 8/10 passes for 115 yards. But he was targeted eight times for six catches and just 39 yards the game prior. That 115 yards versus the Ravens was the only time he even cracked the 50-yard mark in any of his last seven games.

Puka Nacua is coming off 84 and 105-yard games. He’s never been targeted fewer than seven times this season, has four or five catches in each of his last four games and ranks tied for 16th overall in red zone targets with 16.

Over at ESPN BET, Kupp’s yardage prop is set at 75.5 and Nacua’s is 66.5. I think either or both should have big days so let’s target the player with the lower total here.

This game also has some shootout potential with Sam Howell ranking fifth in passing yards for the Commanders which could force Stafford to keep throwing to his receivers late in the game. We’ll go with Nacua’s total in the Week 15 NFL props.

• NFL Player Prop Picks: Puka Nacua over 66.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Kyle Shanahan on what he's seeing from Deebo Samuel:

"He's at the top of his game right now." pic.twitter.com/kPqMxXFf8k

— KNBR (@KNBR) December 11, 2023

Week 15 Receiving Props – Deebo Samuel Over 58.5 Receiving Yards

This is an explosive 49ers offense that ranks third in each of PPG, passing yards and rushing yards.

San Fran has been rolling teams lately with wins of 34-3, 27-14, 31-13, 42-19 and 28-15 in their past five.

One of San Fran’s standout performers during this run has been Deebo Samuel. Samuel had 63 yards receiving in Week 11, 69 yards in Week 12, 116 yards in Week 13 and 149 yards last week in Week 14. He’s also had three touchdowns in his past three games.

Betting Samuel to simply go over 58.5 yards against a Cardinals defense that is 30th in PPG allowed looks like a bargain for our Week 15 props.

• NFL Player Prop Picks: Deebo Samuel over 58.5 receiving yards (-120); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

Week 15 Touchdown Props – Raheem Moster Anytime Touchdown

Raheem Mostert not only leads all running backs with 16 touchdowns this season, but he leads all skill position players with 18 combined touchdowns as well. 

Mostert is listed on the Dolphins injury report with a knee injury, but it’s also been noted he’s simply taking veteran rest which is why he’s missed practice this week.

He has five touchdowns in his last three games and has found the endzone in five of six recent games. During that stretch, was the first meeting of the season between Miami and New York where Mostert rushed for 94 yards and 2 TDs.

The Jets are getting gashed versus the run and rank 28th in YPG allowed and have given up an average of 111.9 yards on the ground to opposing running backs in their past seven games. That should give Mostert plenty of opportunities to find the endzone once more and cash our touchdown prop bets.

• NFL Player Prop Picks: Raheem Mostert anytime touchdown (+110); risk 1 unti at ESPN BET

Before you make your NFL Week 15 player props this weekend, be sure to head on over to one of the top football betting apps this weekend to grab an exciting sportsbook bonus for your NFL prop bets.

Season NFL Props Record: 51-42, +1.60 units

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