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Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 14

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Updated Dec 10, 2022 · 5:30 PM PST

Detroit Lions celebrating
Dec 4, 2022; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions defensive end Aidan Hutchinson (97) celebrates a sack with linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez (44) against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second half at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: David Reginek-USA TODAY Sports
  • Our NFL experts predict their top picks against the spread for NFL Week 14
  • Some of our top NFL ATS picks this week include plays on the Browns and Panthers
  • Read on for our expert NFL picks against the spread for Week 14 below

In Week 14, there are plenty of divisional matchups on tap, a 17-point spread and an exciting SNF showdown between the Dolphins and Chargers. Will any of these games be the focus of Week 14 expert NFL picks against the spread? Read on to find out.

In Week 13 we were a combined 5-4, bringing the season record overall to 67-61-6.

Each week we’ll make our top picks against the spread and keep track of our records throughout the season. Read on for this week’s top NFL ATS picks.

Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 14

Matt McEwan Ryan Metivier Zach Reger Bob Duff
— Chiefs (-8.5) Browns (+5.5) Lions (-1.5)
— Seahawks (-3.5) Giants (+7.5) Browns (+5.5)
— Chargers (+3.5) Panthers (+4) Panthers (+4)
7-13-1 Season Record 15-22-2 Season Record 23-14-2 Season Record 22-12-1 Season Record

Odds as of December 9. Check out this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend

Our picks above focus on seven different teams including bets on the Panthers and Browns.

Ryan Metivier

  • Chiefs (-8.5) at DraftKings Sportsbook

In a normal season, Kansas City usually takes care of the Broncos. They’re 10-3 ATS versus Denver in their past 13. This is a not a normal season for the Broncos though. They’re 3-9 SU and 4-8 ATS. Which is actually not that much worse than KC’s ATS mark of 4-7-1.

Still, this is a matchup between the league’s highest scorers in KC (29.2 PPG, 1st) and the league’s lowest scorers, Denver, (13.8 PPG, 32nd).

The Broncos have scored 9, 10, 16 and 10 points in each of their past four games. We’re 13 weeks through the season and Russell Wilson and the Broncos’ offense have shown no signs that their offensive ineptitude is going to end.

Kansas City is 9-3 SU this season and each of the past two times they suffered a loss, they responded in a big way. First winning 41-31 and then winning 44-23. Will they cruise this week after losing to Cincinnati on SNF last week? I think so.

  • Seahawks (-3.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook

I’m going back to the well with the Seahawks here even though they cost me an ATS pick last week. But while they cost me from an ATS perspective as 7-point favorites, they still did enough to win the game, 27-23 against the Rams in Los Angeles. Still, they are in the midst of an 0-3 ATS run.

The Panthers are coming off a bye week and before that a 23-10 win. But that win came against the Broncos and it was at home. On the road, Carolina has yet to win all season and are 0-5. Their last two road defeats have come by ten and 21 points.

The Chargers aren’t a team I feel confident betting as a favorite. But they are fiesty enough to cause teams trouble despite being just 6-6. Against the spread they have winning record at 7-6.

After five straight wins the Dolphins came back to Earth last week getting thumped 33-17 on the road to backup QB Brock Purdy and San Francisco. The Dolphins have a been a great story this season but they can’t stop anyone on defense, especially on the road. They’ve given up 33, 32, 27, 40, 27 and 38 points on the road this season.

Now they face a very capable Chargers’ offense ranked 13th in YPG and 14th in PPG. Justin Herbert also gets back one of this favorite targets in Mike Williams this week giving LA the deep threat they’ve been missing.

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Bob Duff

  • Lions (-1.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The 5-7 Lions are staying on the periphery of the NFC Wild Card playoff picture. Straight up, Detroit is 5-1 in the past six games.

Minnesota is 9-1 SU over the past 10 games and 5-1-1 ATS through the last seven games. However . . .

In picks against the spread, the Lions are 5-0 in the past five games overall and 7-0 in the last seven games facing NFC North opposition.

  • Browns (+5.5) at DraftKings Sportsbook

While Cleveland is 5-0 and 8-1 SU in recent action against Cincinnati, the Browns are just 2-1 ATS over the past three meetings, but 2-0 ATS in the last two as a betting underdog. In Cincinnati, Cleveland is 2-2 ATS over the past four games.

Their Week 13 triumph over the Chiefs improved Cincinnati to an NFL-best 9-1 ATS in the past 10 games. Coming off an emotional win and facing a team that’s given them trouble, logic suggests the Bengals could be in for a letdown.

  • Panthers (+5.5) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Earlier this season, the Carolina Panthers were on an 0-9 ATS skid. Lately, though, the team that just jettisoned season-opening QB1 Baker Mayfield is 5-1 ATS in the past six games.

On the other hand, Seattle is coming down to earth after soaring early in the season. The Seahawks are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in the past three games.

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