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You Can Bet When Jameis Winston Will Throw His First Interception in Week 16

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in NFL Football

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 6:30 PM PDT

Jameis Winston handing the ball off
Jameis Winston has thrown an interception in all but four games this season. Will he throw a pick in Week 16 and if so, how soon? Photo by Keith Allison (Wikimedia Commons).
  • Jameis Winston leads the NFL with 24 interceptions this season, six more than second place
  • Winston has thrown a pick on an opening series five times in 14 games
  • Winston has thrown at least three interceptions in a game four times this year

Although Jameis Winston leads the NFL in passing yards, he’s also been quite the turnover machine. He’s thrown an eye-popping 24 interceptions, which is six more than any other quarterback.

There are odds on how soon he’ll throw his first interception in his Week 16 contest against the Houston Texans. Let’s take a look to see if over or under is the best play.

Odds on the Time of Jameis Winston’s First Week 16 Interception

Time of Day Odds
Before 14:30 PM EST -120
After 14:30 PM EST -120

Odds taken Dec. 17. 

Winston Has Thrown Five Opening-Series Interceptions

Although the numbers are hard to believe, Winston has actually thrown an interception on the team’s opening series five times in 2019. Remember, the team has only played 14 games, so he’s thrown an opening-series interception once every 2.8 games.

Beyond just the opening series, the overall figures are staggering. Winston has thrown a pick in all but four of his games this year. He’s thrown at least three interceptions in a game four separate times. That means he has over 12 interceptions in those four games alone; players like Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson have 11 interceptions in total.

It’s safe to say that Winston is quite turnover prone, but what makes him an enigma is the fact that he leads the league in passing yards and is second in touchdown passes. When he’s on target, he can be an elite player. The challenge is the mistakes, which seem to come each and every week.

Winston Plays Texans On Saturday

Remember that there are no Thursday games on the NFL slate this week but the action will start on Saturday. We’ll see a trio of games, starting with the Houston Texans visit to Tampa Bay to face the Bucs at 1:00 PM ET. It’ll be the first game of the day.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ny_88b11ujc

Although Winston is turnover prone himself, the Texans are not a team that picks off a lot of passes. On the year, they’ve collected just eight interceptions, which is the third-fewest in the NHL.

They’ve picked up an interception in three straight weeks, which means they had just five interceptions in their first 11 games.

Time of Jameis Winston’s First Interception: Weeks 1 – 15

Week Quarter When First Interception Was Thrown
Week 1 Second Quarter
Week 2 No Interception Thrown
Week 3 Fourth Quarter
Week 4 Fourth Quarter
Week 5 No Interception Thrown
Week 6 First Quarter
Week 7 BYE
Week 8 First Quarter
Week 9 No Interception Thrown
Week 10 First Quarter
Week 11 First Quarter
Week 12 First Quarter
Week 13 No Interception Thrown
Week 14 First Quarter
Week 15 First Quarter

Winston’s Top Targets Are Out

Keep in mind that Winston is already without his top receiver in Mike Evans and is likely to be without Chris Godwin, as well. Both have serious hamstring issues and are out. That leaves Winston working with Breshad Perriman, Scotty Miller, and Justin Watson as his top targets.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vd-SCRc2Yo

What’s The Best Bet?

Winston is far too mistake-prone to consider the over. With the time set at 2:30 PM ET, we are essentially looking at him throwing a first-half pick here and that seems doable.

He’s actually been way more mistake-prone at home as he has 18 picks in Tampa compared to just six on the road. I’d bet the under here – especially with him missing key weapons.

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