Cory Booker, Kristen Gillibrand & Amy Klobuchar’s Democratic Nomination Odds Crashing

• Bernie Sanders is favored to win the 2020 Democratic Party nomination.
• Joe Biden is leading in the polls but his ‘inappropriate touching’ incidents could drag him down.
• Booker, Klobuchar and Gillibrand struggling to gain traction in the polls.

There are 18 candidates in the 2020 field to earn the Democratic Nomination. It’s a big crowd and a number of the candidates liked Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar and Kirsten Gillibrand are starting to get lost in the shuffle.

Do any of them offer value as their 2020 Democratic Party presidential nominee odds have faded?

2020 Democratic Party Nomination Odds

*Odds taken April 5. For a full list of candidates, click the link in the table.

Who’s The ‘Donald Trump’ of the Democrats?

While it might seem like an odd question, it’s an important one. In 2016, the Republicans went into the primaries with a slew of candidates. There were 17 in total; the Democrats are already at 18 and Joe Biden hasn’t even announced that he’s running. A lot of candidates might look nice, but they are going to get lost in the crowd.

In 2016, Trump and his unconventional style cut through that field. Everyone looked prim and proper, and was saying mostly the same things. He stepped in and – for better or for worse – was louder, brasher and blunter. People were drawn to that.

The Democrats have that problem right now as they have a lot of good possible candidates but many just blend into the background, including the ones we’re going to go over.

Pass On Booker

Cory Booker just isn’t catching on right now. He checks so many boxes that democrats might be looking for (he’s a senator, he’s African-American, he was a very successful mayor) but he’s not being viewed as a serious contender. Could that change? Possibly, but it seems like people just don’t see him as a potential president.

The issue with Booker is that there is no buzz. Mayor Pete Buttigieg just joined the race and is getting the spotlight. It’s still early but this is a crowded field and Booker has done little to separate himself. It doesn’t help that he’s been bashing President Trump about his tax returns but hasn’t released his own.

I know it feels like it’s time to worry in this country. But worrying didn’t get us civil rights, women’s rights, or workers’ rights. Organizing, fighting together, and standing together did. So, let’s get to it. pic.twitter.com/uKR3yYKhxu

— Cory Booker (@CoryBooker) April 3, 2019

There’s no question that he’d get the black vote and he’ll be trusted by Northeasterners, but he hasn’t done much to gain traction in the rest of the country. I would pass for now.

Klobuchar Blending In With The Crowd

Klobuchar might seem like a reasonable candidate, by all accounts, but she’s also getting drowned out. Her policies seem moderate but she’s not reinventing the wheel.  She stood out briefly during the Supreme Court confirmation hearings with Brett Kavanaugh, but she’s otherwise faded away.

“I am not for free four-year college for all, no,” says Sen. Amy Klobuchar. But the Democratic presidential candidate says she wants to make college more affordable by creating easier ways to refinance loans and make community college free. #KlobucharTownHall pic.twitter.com/Qr1ae5QiE9

— CNN (@CNN) February 19, 2019

She’s not the darling of the left, she’s not a force with social media and she’s not presenting anything novel. It’s hard to see her winning unless she finds a way to differentiate herself.

Gillibrand Not Gaining Traction

We’re still quite early in the process but Gillibrand has to be worried. The latest Morning Consult poll for the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination showed that she has just a 1% share of the vote. That’s one worse than Klobuchar, who is at 2%.

Donald Trump did not create hate and racism, bigotry and anti-Semitism. But what he has done is poured fuel on the fire that is raging more than I’ve seen in my lifetime. I will stand up against him and his hate. #GillibrandTownHall pic.twitter.com/JoBscNgT5w

— Kirsten Gillibrand (@SenGillibrand) March 19, 2019

She’s literally made no headlines and has not differentiated herself in any way. She’s got to get it going in a big way before I invest in her odds.

Biden Set To Sink

Biden is the clear front-runner but there are two issues: he hasn’t officially announced he’s running and he’s already mired in the headlines on allegations of touching and groping women. Although it’s not sexual assault, seven women have come forward with complaints, which is not a good sign.

Beyond that, Biden sent out a video on Thursday, which seemed quite candid, but he didn’t apologize. And in his first public speaking event after the accusations, he proved himself to be tone-deaf as he repeatedly joked about ‘permission’ to hug people who shared the stage with him.

Facing accusations of inappropriate touching by women, Biden jokes with crowd after hugging boy on stage: “By the way, he gave me permission to touch him.” https://t.co/jlvV2pkVbQ pic.twitter.com/xjxDi326UG

— CBS News (@CBSNews) April 5, 2019

Biden is going to sink as a result but who benefits? Bernie Sanders is likely to but so will Kamala Harris and Beto O’Rourke.

Bet On Beto

Beto is great with social media, which is giving him the opportunity to standout. If we’re looking at somebody outside of Biden and Sanders to bet on, he’d be my guy. He’s the darling of the left, he’s young, hip and in-touch with the people, and he’s done well to make his voice heard so far.