Wimbledon Day 6 Third Round Odds, Picks, Upsets, and Parlays
- Wimbledon Day 6 features eight third-round matches on Saturday, July 2
- The spotlight match is unseeded Nick Kyrgios vs No. 4 seed Stefanos Tsitsipas, with Kyrgios the favorite
- Read below for Wimbledon Day 6 odds, picks and predictions for the July 2 matches
Wimbledon continues with Day 6 on Saturday, July 2nd. Eight matches are on tap for the third round, including Nick Kyrgios vs No. 4 seed Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Only one of the on-paper third-round matchups in the bottom half of the Wimbledon men’s singles draw panned out. And the reality is that a qualifier – either Jack Sock or Jason Kubler – will be in the second week of the tournament.
Wimbledon Day 6 Men’s Third-Round Odds
| Matchups | Odds |
|---|---|
| [27] Lorenzo Sonego (ITA) vs [2] Rafael Nadal (ESP) | +400 / -560 |
| Nick Kyrgios (AUS) vs [4] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) | -130 / +110 |
| Alex Molcan (SVK) vs [11] Taylor Fritz (USA) | +360 / -455 |
| [19] Alex De Minaur (AUS) vs [WC] Liam Broady (GBR) | -715 / +525 |
| Richard Gasquet (FRA) vs [21] Botic Van De Zandschulp (NED) | +215 / -265 |
| Cristian Garin (CHI) vs [28] Jenson Brooksby (USA) | +200 / -245 |
| [Q] Jack Sock (USA) vs [Q] Jason Kubler (AUS) | -200 / +155 |
| Brandon Nakashima (USA) vs Daniel Elahi Galan (COL) | -835 / +600 |
Odds as of July 1 at Barstool Sportsbook.
The surprises so far have included No. 28 Jenson Brooksby, an American who is a neophyte on grass and showed absolutely nothing in the lead up to Wimbledon on that surface.
But he hasn’t dropped a set in his first two matches. And he could do the same against Chile’s Cristian Garin.
That would mean he’s into the second week, with the prospect of likely playing No. 19 seed Alex de Minaur for a spot in the Wimbledon quarterfinals.
Of all the unexpected outcomes at this year’s event, this might be among the biggest. It’s just too bad that his ranking won’t reflect it, because the tournament is not awarding ranking points this year.
Wimbledon Day 6 Parlay
A tennis parlay brings some improved value, if the favorites come through as expected.
If these three win, the payout is -157 – which is much better than they’d bring individually.
- Rafael Nadal over Lorenzo Sonego
- Alex de Minaur over Liam Broady
- Taylor Fritz over Alex Molcan
Wimbledon Day 6 Matches to Watch
Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz Pick
We’d give Slovakian lefty Alex Molcan a slight chance over No. 11 Taylor Fritz – if only because Fritz has had some issues with some lefties in the past. Yoshihito Nishioka owns him; Albert Ramos -Viñolas has beaten him the last two times they played.
https://twitter.com/TennisWRLD/status/1542506042764009472
Molcan had never played on grass until last year’s Wimbledon qualifying. And he won his first-ever main-draw match on the surface the week before Wimbledon in Mallorca. And yet, he has looked completely at home.
But Fritz is playing well, so at best, Molcan might take a set. Given the potential for Molcan to steal a set, Fritz is good value to beat Molcan in four sets in the Wimbledon odds.
Prediction: Fritz in Four Sets (+270)
Nick Kyrgios vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Pick
We’ll put aside Tsitsipas’ win over Kyrgios at Laver Cup. Because even though it counts in the ATP head-to-head, it’s only an exhibition.
Kyrgios vs Tsitsipas Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Halle (R16) | Grass | 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 | Kyrgios |
| 2021 | Laver Cup (RR) | Indoor Hard | 6-3, 6-4 | Tsitsipas |
| 2020 | ATP Cup (RR) | Outdoor Hard | 7-6 (7), 6-7 (3), 7-6 (5) | Kyrgios |
| 2020 | Washington, D.C. (SF) | Outdoor Hard | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 (7) | Kyrgios |
In their three official Tour meetings, Kyrgios is 3-0 – including a couple of weeks ago on grass in Halle.
Tsitsipas, who won his first grass-court title last week in Mallorca, lost in the first round on his last two visits to Wimbledon. So making the third round is progress.
He lost a set in his opener against obscure qualifier Alexander Ritschard, but steadied the ship with a straight-sets win over Jordan Thompson in the second round.
"I don't start clapping when they're scanning **** at a supermarket do I?" 😳
Nick Kyrgios was far from happy with some spectators watching his match 👀#Wimbledon #BBCTennis pic.twitter.com/agibo0oBEQ
— BBC Sport (@BBCSport) June 28, 2022
Kyrgios barely got past a British wild card in the first round. And there was … a lot of drama.
But then he crushed No. 26 seed Filip Krajinovic in the second round, ceding just six games.
He’s a dangerous customer on the grass when he’s fit and keen. He loves Wimbledon and he even pulled out of the doubles (which is best-of-five at the All-England Club) to save his energy.
Either Kyrgios continues to have bragging rights (which he will make good use of). Or Tsitsipas will finally have that breakthrough match at Wimbledon that he’s been looking for.
Best Bet: Over 4.5 Sets (+205)
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Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
