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Astros vs Guardians Odds, Picks & Predictions (Aug 7)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 6, 2022 · 7:04 PM PDT

Amed Rosario celebrates, Cleveland Guardians
Aug 3, 2022; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Guardians shortstop Amed Rosario (1) celebrates after hitting a home run during the fifth inning against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Astros are -140 road favorites over the Guardians on Sunday
  • Cristian Javier (6-7, 3.24) will start for Houston against Triston McKenzie (7-8, 3.38)
  • See the Astros vs Guardians odds ahead of Sunday’s matchup

The visiting Houston Astros and Cleveland Guardian wrap up their four-game series at 12:05 p.m. ET Sunday at Progressive Field.

The Guardians (55-52/28-22 home) beat the Astros 4-1 on Saturday night after losing the first two games of the series. The American League West-leading Astros (70-39/36-22 road) had their three-game winning streak snapped.

Astros vs Guardians Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Houston Astros -140 -1.5 (+120) Over 8 (-115)
Cleveland Guardians +120 +1.5 (-140) Under 8 (-105)

Odds as of August 6th at Caesars Sportsbook

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The Astros have a 58.33% implied win probability as -140 favorites. Houston has +450 World Series odds and the Guardians are listed at +12000.

There is a 20% of showers or thunderstorms in Cleveland, though the weather forecast also calls for sunny skies, a high temperature of 88 degrees with a heat index of 98 and a 7-mph wind from the west.

Astros vs Guardians Probable Pitchers

Cristian Javier (6-7, 3.24) is scheduled to start for the Astros against Triston McKenzie (7-8, 3.38). Both will be pitching on four days of rest. Javier has +10000 chances in the AL Cy Young odds.

Javier vs McKenzie

Cristian Javier
VS
Triston McKenzie
6-7 Record 7-8
3.24 ERA 3.38
2.76 xERA 3.97
1.05 WHIP 1.00
3.56 SO/W 3.53

Javier has struggled lately, going 0-4 with a 5.11 ERA in his last five starts, including losing to the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday in Houston. Javier pitched well, allowing just two runs on four hits in six innings while striking out seven and walking one.

Javier is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in three games (one start) against the Guardians in his career. He has pitched only once at Progressive Field, working a scoreless inning of relief last season.

On the road this season, Javier has a 2-3 record and 4.15 ERA in nine games (seven starts). He is 1-1 with a 1.57 ERA in five games (three starts) during the day. The Astros have split his 16 starts.

McKenzie is 0-2 with a 4.34 ERA in his last three starts and was roughed up by the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday in a loss at home. He gave up five runs (four earned) and six hits in six innings with seven strikeouts and two walks.

In two career starts against the Astros, McKenzie is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA.

McKenzie is 3-2 at home this season with a 3.32 ERA in seven starts. During the day, he is 5-4 with a 2.19 ERA in 12 games (11 starts). The Guardians are 12-7 when McKenzie starts.

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Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Astros Batters Batting Average vs Triston McKenzie
Jose Altuve .500
Trey Mancini .500
Yuli Gurriel .333
Martin Maldonado .333
Alex Bregman .333
Yordan Alvarez .200
Kyle Tucker .200
Christian Vazquez .000
Jeremy Pena .000
Guardians Batters Batting Average vs Cristian Javier
Jose Ramirez .500
Amed Rosario .250
Myles Straw .000
Andres Gimenez .000
Austin Hedges .000
Steven Kwan .000
Owen Miller .000
Josh Naylor .000

The Astros’ Jose Altuve has had success in his limited history with McKenzie, going 3-for-6 with a double and two home runs.

Guardians vs Astros Betting Outlook

Amed Rosario’s two-run single helped spark the Guardians’ win over the Astros on Saturday night.

Jose Ramirez had two hits and an RBI for Cleveland. Andrew Gimenez and Myles Straw also had two hits each.

Guardians left fielder Steven Kwan was sidelined a day after fouling a ball off his foot and is questionable for Sunday.

Aledmys Diaz kept the Astros from being shut out with an RBI double in the ninth inning. He and Jake Meyers each had two hits.

Diaz returned after sitting out Friday night’s game with a sore left ring finger.

Astros right fielder Kyle Tucker missed his third straight game because of illness, getting scratched after being in the original lineup. He is questionable for Sunday.

Cleveland’s hot dog races are keeping Tucker occupied this weekend.

Manager Dusty Baker missed his second game after testing positive for COVID-19. Bench coach Joe Espada has served as acting manager.

The Astros lead the season series 4-2 and are 22-9 against the Guardians since 2018.

Guardians vs Astros Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/6/22 Guardians Astros CLE, 4-1
8/5/22 Guardians Astros HOU, 9-3
8/4/22 Guardians Astros HOU, 6-0
5/25/22 Astros Guardians HOU, 2-1
5/24/22 Astros Guardians HOU, 7-3
5/23/22 Astros Guardians CLE, 6-1
7/21/21 Astros Guardians CLE, 5-4
7/20/21 Astros Guardians HOU, 9-3
7/19/21 Astros Guardians HOU, 4-3
7/4/21 Guardians Astros HOU, 4-3

Guardians vs Astros Prediction

Javier is winless in his last five starts but his expected ERA shows he is pitching better than his record indicates. Backing him is the way to go in this one, especially with the way the Astros have owned the Guardians in recent seasons.

Pick: Astros -140 ML

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