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Yankees vs Rangers Picks & Odds (Oct. 4)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 4, 2022 · 5:38 AM PDT

Yankees vs Rangers odds & picks
Oct 2, 2022; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees catcher Jose Trevino (39) and third baseman Josh Donaldson (28) almost collide chasing a pop in the fourth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
  • The New York Yankees are a -135 road favorite over the Texas Rangers on Tuesday, October 4
  • New York is 9-1 straight up overall against Texas and 4-0 SU on the road when facing the Rangers
  • See all the Yankees vs Rangers picks and odds in the story below

No matter how you slice it, when the New York Yankees (98-61, 41-37 away) tangle with Texas (66-93, 32-46 home), they slice and dice the Rangers.

This season, the Yankees have won three of four straight up from Texas. At Texas, they are on a 4-0 SU win streak.

Going back to last season, New York is 9-1 SU overall in this series. Extend back further and the Yankees have won 19 of 26.

Oddsmakers are counting on this trend to be continuing. New York is set as a -135 road favorite in the second game of this four-game series. The Yankees are just 26-39 against the runline as an away favorite this season.

Yankees vs Rangers Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Yankees -135 -1.5 (+140) O 7 (-110)
Texas Rangers +115 +1.5 (-165) U 7 (-110)

Odds as of October 3 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

At moneyline odds of -135, the Yankees have an implied probability of victory of 57.45% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on New York would create a payout of $17.40.

 

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First pitch at Globe Life Field goes at 2:05pm ET on Tuesday, October 4. The weather forecast is calling for sunny skies with 3 mph wind and a temperature of 86 degrees. It’s the opening game of a day-night doubleheader.

The Yankees are the +500 third betting choice in the World Series odds. As far as the MLB pennant odds are concerned, New York’s AL squad is the second pick in this betting market at +190.

Baltimore vs New York Probable Pitchers

In Tuesday’s MLB lineups, the Rangers will be seeking to prevent Yankees right-hander Jameson Taillon from winning a career-high 15th game of the season. Along with his 14-5 record this season, he was 14-10 with the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2018.

https://twitter.com/Yankeelibrarian/status/1574939897080999936?s=20&t=sh86-_IKJZECGp1b_OLA9g

Taillon rates among the top 6% of MLB pitchers in bases on balls percentage (4.3). However, he’s in the bottom 8% of Max EV (115.1). He’s 22-11 over 60 starts as a Yankee.

Taillon was 9-1 at the end of June, but has gone 5-4 since then. He was 2-1 with a 3.23 ERA in five September starts. Taillon is 1-0 with a 5.91 ERA in two career starts against the Rangers.

Taillon vs Gray Stats

Jameson Taillon
VS
Jon Gray
14-5 Record 7-7
4.19 ERA 3.93
4.12 xERA 3.65
1.11 WHIP 1.15
4.87 SO/W Ratio 3.36

Rangers right-hander Jon Gray is winless since July 21. In six starts, he’s 0-3 with a 5.08 ERA. Gray spent a month on the IL with an oblique strain during this winless stretch.

Gray faced the Yankees on May 9. He pitched 4.1 innings of scoreless baseball, allowing two hits, walking three and striking out four. He didn’t figure in the decision as New York were 1-0 winners. The Rangers are 10-13 in Gray’s starts this season.

The righty is 4-1 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in seven starts this season at Globe Life Field. Gray has made two starts in his career against the Yankees. He’s 0-0 with a 4.32 ERA and 1.56 WHIP over 8.1 innings of work.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Yankees Batters Batting Average vs Gray Rangers Batters Batting Average vs Taillon
Josh Donaldson .500 Josh Donaldson .400
Anthony Rizzo 1.000 Aaron Judge .000
Giancarlo Stanton .000 Isiah Kiner-Falefa .250
Anthony Rizzo 1.000 Anthony Rizzo .125
Giancarlo Stanton .000 Giancarlo Stanton .308

Rangers second baseman Marcus Semien is 2-for-7 (.286) off of Taillon and both hits were solo homers. Adolis Garcia and Jonah Heim are each 1-for-2 (.500). Garcia has two RBI. Corey Seager is 2-for-6 (.333).

For the Yankees, Aaron Judge, in pursuit of AL-record home run #62, is 0-for-1 against Gray. DH Giancarlo Stanton is the danger man for the Yankees agains Gray. He’s 4-for-13 (.308) with two homers and three RBI. Josh Donaldson is 2-for-5 (.400) with an RBI. Anthony Rizzo is batting just .125 off of Gray, but has homered and driven in two runs.

Yankees vs Rangers Prediction

The Yankees are home and cooled out as far as their seeding for the MLB playoffs is concerned. All that’s left for them is to see if Judge can launch his record home run.

Gray was pitching quite well in his return until he was shelled for six runs in five innings by Seattle in his last start. Take the price and go with the Rangers here.

Pick: Texas Rangers ML (+115).

 

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