Upcoming Match-ups

Allen Still Favored in NFL MVP Odds; Lamar, Mahomes & Hurts All Getting Short Odds

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Oct 3, 2022 · 6:13 AM PDT

NFL MVP odds
Oct 2, 2022; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) looks to throw during the first half against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
  • Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen is now the +300 favorite in the NFL MVP odds
  • Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes, Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson and Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts round out the top four in the NFL MVP betting lines
  • Former MVPs Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay), Tom Brady (Tampa Bay) and Matt Ryan (Indianapolis) saw their odds lengthen significantly

The Buffalo Bills got back on the winning track and quarterback Josh Allen was maintaining his place as the betting favorite in the NFL MVP odds through Week 4 of the regular season.

Allen rallied the Bills from a 20-3 deficit to beat the Baltimore Ravens 23-20 in a showdown against Ravens QB and 2019 NFL MVP Lamar Jackson.

For the second week in a row, the top four in the NFL MVP betting market remain unchanged. Allen is the +300 chalk, the same betting line he was afforded a week ago. The odds on Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs (+550 to +500), Jalen Hurts of the Philadelphia Eagles (+700 to +550) and Jackson (+700 to +550) all shortened.

No other player in the NFL MVP odds is shorter than +1000.

2022 NFL MVP Odds

Player (Team) Odds
Josh Allen (Bills) +300
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) +500
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) +550
Jalen Hurts (Eagles) +550
Justin Herbert (Chargers) +1600
Joe Burrow (Bengals) +2000
Aaron Rodgers (Packers) +2000
Matthew Stafford (Rams) +3000
Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) +3500
Tom Brady (Buccaneers) +4000
Kyler Murray (Cardinals) +4000
Kirk Cousins (Vikings) +5000
Derek Carr (Raiders) +5000
Russell Wilson (Broncos) +6000
Cooper Kupp (Rams) +8000
Justin Jefferson (Vikings) +10000
Stefon Diggs (Bills) +10000
Jimmy Garoppolo (49ers) +12500
Jared Goff (Lions) +12500
Derrick Henry (Titans) +12500

Odds as of October 3 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook promo code before wagering on the NFL this week

It’s Allen, Mahomes and Jackson in the top three of the NFL MVP odds in the table above after Week 3.

 

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
Bet $10 & Win $200 if Either Team Scores a Touchdown!
Available Ony in IL, LA & KS.
Must be 21+ to Participate.
LOCK IN PROMO
NFL SIGNUP PROMO
BET $10
WIN $200

BET NOW

 

When the NFL MVP future book was first released in February at NFL betting sites, Mahomes and two-time reigning NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers were the co-favorites.

Allen Rallies Bills Over Jackson and Ravens

You won’t find Allen’s name atop the leaderboard in any of the NFL’s QB stats. His sixth in passer rating (101.), fourth in TD passes (10) and second in yards (1,227). But it isn’t mere numbers that make someone an NFL MVP. It’s games like Sunday that do.

In this battle of top contenders in the AFC Championship odds, the Bills looked to be dead in the water, trailing by 17 in the second quarter. In a steady downpour, Allen stepped up. He threw his only TD pass just before halftime to narrow the gap to 20-10. In the second half, he led Buffalo to 13 unanswered points and the team’s biggest comeback win since 2011.

As for Jackson, it’s the second time this season he’s been unable to stem a rally against the Ravens. Baltimore allowed 28 fourth-quarter points in a 42-38 Week 2 loss to Miami. Whether it’s his fault or not, being associated with failure of that magnitude isn’t a path to the NFL MVP.

Mahomes Wins Showdown With Brady

Chiefs QB Mahomes won a showdown with Tampa Bay’s Tom Brady in a rematch of Super Bowl 55. He passed for 249 yards and three TDs. Mahomes and Jackson own a share of the NFL lead in TD passes. Each has thrown for 11 scores. At 108.4, Mahomes is second in the NFL in passer rating.

As for Brady, it was like watching Muhammad Ali near the end of his legendary career in the ring. There were times when Brady did things at 45 that no other player has achieved in NFL history. And then there were cringe-worthy moments where he looked every bit his age.

Best Week 4 NFL Betting Promo Codes: Grab up to $3,450 in Bonus Money
Read More

Hurts Puts Hurt On Jaguars

A look at two next-gen MVP contenders took place in Philadelphia. Hurts rallied the Eagles, favorites in the NFC East odds, from a 14-0 deficit for a 29-21 win. Hurts threw for 204 yards. He ran for 24 and a TD, his fourth of the season.

In a losing cause, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence passed for 174 yards and 2 TDs. Still, his NFL MVP odds shortened from +5000 to +3500.

Their NFL MVP Odds Are Going Long

While Hurts has been so good, the news isn’t as good for other NFL starting QBs from Alabama. Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa and New England’s Mac Jones both look to be out long-term with serious injuries.

Jones is now at +15000 in the NFL MVP odds. Tagovailoa went from +1400 to off the board. His backup, Teddy Bridgewater, can be had for a betting line of +15000.

Two multiple MVP winners – Aaron Rodgers of the Packers (+1800 to +2000) and Brady (+3000 to +4000) – continue to drift further away from the prize. Matt Ryan of the Colts, the 2016 NFL MVP, also lengthened from +10000 to +15000 following another poor performance.

Who’s the NFL MVP Choice?

It’s four weeks into the NFL season now, and the view is beginning to grow clearer in the NFL MVP race. In recent years, the league has witnessed coming out parties in MVP seasons for Mahomes and Jackson.

This is projected to be the year of the Bills. Buffalo continues to hold forth as favorite in the Super Bowl odds. And as long as Buffalo stays on top, there’s going to be a sense that this will be Allen’s first MVP year.

Bills Mafia may need to make a difficult choice, however, in rooting interests. Not since Peyton Manning of the 2009 Indianapolis Colts has a player won both the MVP and the Super Bowl in the same NFL season.

 

Author Image