Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Odds, Lines, Picks and Predictions for Monday Night Football Week 6
- Los Angeles is laying 4.5-points to Denver in the Week 6 Broncos vs Chargers odds on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium
- The Broncos have scored a league-low six touchdowns through five weeks
- Keep reading for the latest Broncos vs Chargers odds, plus analysis and our favorite bet for MNF
As it turns out, maybe Pete Carroll wasn’t crazy for not letting Russell Wilson cook. Maybe Russ is just cooked. Things certainly haven’t panned out so far for Wilson in Denver, as the Broncos (2-3, 0-2 away) have been a massive disappointing through five weeks.
They rank among the worst teams offensively, while Wilson has been outplayed by nearly every other starting QB in the NFL. Things won’t get any easier in Week 6, as Denver travels to LA to face Justin Herbert and the Chargers (3-2, 1-1 home) on Monday Night Football.
Los Angeles has underwhelmed so far as well, but oddsmakers are more bullish on them than the Broncos in the NFL odds.
Broncos vs Chargers Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | +4.5 (-105) | +175 | O 45.5 (-110) |
| LA Chargers | -4.5 (-115) | -205 | U 45.5 (-110) |
Odds as of October 15 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code for MNF here
The Chargers are currently 4.5-point home favorites, in a contest that features a total of 45.5. As of Sunday morning, the betting action is completely one-sided, as LA is drawing 77% of the spread wagers and 61% of the ATS handle.
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Even more lopsided is the action on the total. 76% of the over/under bets are accounting for 82% of all money wagered on the total.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm ET at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, with ESPN providing the broadcast coverage. As for the forecast, it’s currently calling for clear skies and 77 degree game-time temperatures.
Denver Broncos Betting Analysis
It’s no surprise that bettors are targeting the under in a Broncos game. Denver has scored a league low 6 TD this season, and enter play averaging 15 points per game. Seattle meanwhile, Wilson’s former team, is averaging 10 more points per contest and rank number one on offense per DVOA.
Wilson grades out as the 33rd best quarterback so far per Pro Football Focus. He’s completing a career-worst 59.4% of his passes, and has already absorbed 16 sacks. He’s thrown only 4 TD passes, against 3 interceptions, and last week versus the Colts marked his worst graded performance of the year. He could be a play on the under for many Broncos vs Chargers props.
🟢 Geno Smith this season
🔥 118/157
🔥 1,305 YDS
🔥 9 TD
🔥 74.6 QBR🟠 Russell Wilson this season
– 101/170
– 1,254 YDS
– 4 TD
– 36.5 QBR pic.twitter.com/tiIlNfze2z— PFF SEA Seahawks (@PFF_Seahawks) October 10, 2022
Wilson is reportedly dealing with a strained lat muscle, but before we use that as an excuse for his play this season, it needs to be noted that the injury hasn’t caused him to miss any practice this week.
Sticking on the injury front, sophomore starting RB Javonte Williams (knee) is done for the season, while starting right tackle Garrett Bolles (ankle) is on IR.
If there’s been a bright spot this season on offense for the Broncos it’s been the play of Courtland Sutton. The 27-year-old has at least five catches in four straight games, and is one of only two NFL players with at least 50 receiving yards in every contest so far.
Receiving yards, AFC Players:
1. Tyreek Hill (Mia.) … 524
2. Stefon Diggs (Buf.) … 508
3. Courtland Sutton (@Broncos) … 417
4. Davante Adams (L.V.) … 414
5. Jaylen Waddle (Mia.) … 404 pic.twitter.com/i3OWJdBq0N— Tyler Gorse (@Tyler_Gorse_) October 15, 2022
Defensively, Denver is excellent. They rank fourth per DVOA, and that side of the ball is literally the only reason they’ve been competitive in most of their games. They’re especially strong against the pass, grading out second, in large part thanks to the play of shutdown corner Patrick Surtain II, and the league’s third most productive pass rush per PFF.
Los Angeles Chargers Betting Analysis
The Broncos secondary will be tested early and often on Monday against Justin Herbert. The top-five NFL MVP odds contender has been playing through a serious rib injury since Week 3, but that hasn’t stopped him from slinging the ball all over the place.
Herbert is averaging 40 passing attempts per game, and ranks top-five in yards and touchdowns. His favorite weapon Keenan Allen has been on the shelf since Week 2, and is doubtful to play on Monday.
#Chargers Keenan Allen will miss another game this week. Multiple reports said this week there was a good chance that he would play but Allen told reporters it would be another week. #BoltUp #NFLRumors
Allen had not played since Week 1⃣
— NFL Rumors (@nflrums) October 15, 2022
His absence has opened the door for a Mike Williams breakout campaign. Williams has caught 17 balls over the past two weeks, and ranks 11th in the league in receiving yards.
His matchup against Surtain on MNF will be must see TV, and he’ll be looking to avenge two poor outings versus Denver in 2021. Williams averaged only 3.5 catches and 51 receiving yards against the Broncos last season.
Another Charger to watch on Monday will be Austin Ekeler. After not scoring for the first three weeks, Ekeler has 5 TD in his past two games, and is fresh off a career-best 173 rushing yards in Week 5.
Austin Ekeler first three weeks:
-0 TouchdownsAustin Ekeler past two weeks:
-5 Touchdowns
-RB1 in Fantasy (PPR)How many touchdowns will Ekeler finish the year with? pic.twitter.com/vlracj8F3d
— Fantasy Muse (@fantasy_muse_) October 15, 2022
Defensively, LA can be had. The Chargers rank 22nd against the run and just coughed up 213 rushing yards to the Browns. They’re much better against the pass, however the loss of Joey Bosa (groin) to IR significantly downgrades their pass rush productivity.
Broncos vs Chargers Prediction
LA has allowed at least 24 points in four consecutive outings, but the common denominator of their four opponents in those games was that they all rush the ball well. That isn’t the case for Denver, as they rank 23rd in rushing offense per DVOA.
That means the Broncos hopes will likely rest with Wilson. Anyone who’s watched him play this season knows that’s not a good thing.
Denver trading five first and second round picks for Russell Wilson is going to go down as one of the worst trades in NFL history.
— Joe Giglio (@JoeGiglioSports) October 7, 2022
Denver is 0-5 against the spread in their last five road trips, and 1-4 ATS overall this season. LA meanwhile, is 4-1 against the spread, covering as a favorite in three of four instances.
Pick: LA Chargers -4.5 (-115), 1 unit
2022 NFL Season Picks Record: 4-2, +1.52 units
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
