Latest 2021 NFL Win Totals for All 32 Teams and Best Over/Under Bets

• The 2021 NFL season kicks off on Thursday, September 9 when the Dallas Cowboys visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• FanDuel has release their 2021 NFL win totals
• See the win totals for all 32 teams below and our best bets

With a shortened preseason in the books and rosters finalized, the NFL season can officially begin.

Things kick off on Thursday, September 9th when Tom Brady and the Super Bowl Champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Dallas Cowboys. After that, the first Sunday of the season will feature 14 games, followed by Monday Night Football.

As always when it comes to 2021 NFL win totals, there are some pretty lofty numbers. But it’s also important to remember that this is the first 17-game season in NFL history. An important factor in projecting how a team will finish.

2021 NFL Team Win Totals

*Odds as of September 6th from FanDuel

In terms of betting totals, there are two numbers that can help immensely. Calculating a team’s NFL Strength of Schedule and taking into account their NFL Win Probabilities.

Strength of Schedule can be interpreted many different ways, but SBD Editor-in-Chief Matt McEwan has refined the process to help bettors. The Raiders, Steelers and Texans all come into 2021 with the hardest SOS. The Broncos, Browns and 49ers have the easiest.

Meanwhile if you’re looking for quick and easy betting advice, the Win Probabilities chart has you covered. According to the formula, the Bills are a strong pick to go over their total, while WFT carries a heavy under probability.

Chiefs Cream of NFL Crop Once Again

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs enter 2021 with the highest win total. When the board opened in March, the Chiefs sat at 12.0. Since early May their number has been 12.5.

Since 2018 when Patrick Mahomes took over, KC has been a lock for at least 12 wins. After back-to-back 12-4 seasons, 2020 saw them go 14-2.

But early on, it’s hard to tell which side of the number the Chiefs will fall on. In fact, of all of the win probabilities, KC’s margin is the slightest. They have a 49.1% chance of going over, and a 50.9% of going under.

Patrick Mahomes’ sidearm is in midseason form 👀
pic.twitter.com/cFmXM4DZBE

— PFF (@PFF) August 28, 2021

Their SOS falls just outside the top, sitting 11th. Denver bolstered their secondary and provided Justin Herbert continues to trend upwards, the Chargers won’t be pushovers either. Kansas City’s two losses last year were to AFC West opponents.

It’s not impossible to see the Chiefs losing two divisional games. Maybe a third considering the Week 18 game is in Denver. While that +120 is tantalizing, games against Cleveland, Baltimore, Buffalo and Green Bay mean the under is much more realistic.

Texans Sink to Bottom of NFL Wins Picture

Amid their tumultuous off-season, the Texans’ win total opened at 4.5.

The DeShaun Watson saga enveloped the team’s winter. Now, while Watson will remain on the Texans’ roster, he probably won’t play for them ever again.

So the world is Tyrod Taylor’s. Or maybe David Mills. Either way, David Culley’s first season as an NFL head coach looks…ominous to say the least.

You can use the week slider to select schedule periods.

The Houston Texans have, BY FAR, the worst first four games of any team.

Literally almost off-the-charts bad.

Going up against 4 teams projected to all finish with 9+ wins.

Arizona Cardinals, meanwhile, have the easiest. pic.twitter.com/4r6mXpEHWV

— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) May 8, 2020

The Texans were essentially giving away draft picks under Bill O’Brien. Then Nick Caserio took over this past winter and overturned 50% of the 90-man roster. They added a trio of running backs,  but they lost three good receivers. That leaves things to Nico Collins and Brandin Cooks.

Houston has the third-toughest SOS. They play eight playoff teams from last season and a number of improved squads. Their most competitive games may come against the Jaguars and Jets. Some think they may have 0-17 potential. That may be a stretch, but running with the under at +100 is an easy decision. It’s backed by a 53.8% probability.

Rams Ride Defense to Double Digit Wins

After 13-straight seasons of being a .500 or worse team, the Rams have won 10 or more games in three of the past four.

Their total opened at 10.5 and has stayed steady since.

The Rams’ division poses a challenge of its own. The Seahawks were 12-4 last year, the Rams 10-6 and the Cardinals 8-8. The 49ers finished 6-10 but they’re entering 2021 healthy.

9️⃣ days until QB1 makes his Rams debut. pic.twitter.com/dWdr6KAfyE

— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) September 4, 2021

So why the Rams? Their defense is led by two elite players in Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. Sean McVay even recently put it upon himself to get Donald a Super Bowl ring. And while Jared Goff was fine, Matt Stafford is a win-now upgrade.

San Fran has the softest schedule in the league, while the Cards have the hardest in the division. LA faces slightly more of a challenge than Seattle.

The Rams are second in the NFL Divisional odds, and if they play to that potential they should eclipse 10 wins.

Eagles’ Hopes Ride on Hurts

The Eagles have slowly descended since their win in Super Bowl LII. That win underscored a 13-3 season. The following two years under Doug Pederson? Identical 9-7 records.

Then the 4-11-1 experience of last year which cost both Pederson and quarterback Carson Wentz their jobs. Jalen Hurts went 1-3 down the stretch with a 51.88% completion percentage, adding five touchdowns to three interceptions. He also mixed in three scores on the ground to go along with 272 yards.

All that saw their win total open, and stay, at 6.5.

Hurts will be throwing behind a finally-healthy offensive line. Philly was in the middle of the pack in both run and pass blocking in 2020 according to PFF, but were without Jordan Mailata, Isaac Seumalo and Lane Johnson for a combined 16 games.

What Nick Sirianni does with Hurts, and how much freedom he has is another question. The wide receiver room is largely untested with DeVonta Smith and Jalen Reagor. Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz are still at tight tend, with Ertz trying to reset mentally from a trying off-season.

In terms of SOS, the Eagles are middle of the pack, but there are some tough defenses there. And with the national perception of Hurts varying so widely, under 6.5 at +125 is a great price if you think he’ll struggle.

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