Updated Game of Thrones Odds After Episode 2: Who Dies First in Season 8, Odds the Night King is a Stark, and More…
By Bryan Thiel in Entertainment
Updated: March 26, 2020 at 10:47 am EDTPublished:
- Game of Thrones’ Season 8 is two episodes in, and there promises to be plenty of action over the last four
- Jon’s reveal to Daenerys and the battle preparations highlighted Episode 2
- Explore our updated props for the last four episodes of Game of Thrones
Game of Thrones’ second episode of Season 8 was a lot like it’s first. There wasn’t much in terms of action, although the characters and the plot-driven tensions continued to drive the show.
That is all about to change.
There are four episodes left, and the teaser for Episode 3 showed that we’ll get fairly deep into the battle with the Night King. We could finish it, but his army is vast. And if the show somehow came up with a way for the battle to span two episodes, it wouldn’t surprise us.
With the timeline now abbreviated, check out some of our faovrite Game of Thrones bets.
Who Will Perish First in Season 8 of Game of Thrones?
| When Will Perish First in Season 8? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Theon Greyjoy | +125 |
| Jaime Lannister | +300 |
| Euron Greyjoy | +500 |
| Cersei Lannister | +750 |
| Yara Greyjoy | +1000 |
| Arya Stark | +1500 |
| Tyrion Lannister | +1500 |
| Jon Snow | +2000 |
| Daenerys Targaryen | +2500 |
| Sansa Stark | +2500 |
*All odds taken 04/22/19
It’s a little shocking to see Theon Grejoy at the top of this list initially. Then you realize that all of the other characters have larger arcs that still have to play out. Theon is also putting himself squarely between the Night King and Bran.
I've never been more sure of a death on game of thrones than I am of Theon Greyjoy dying at hands of the night king
— Big Hollywood (@ChefWaites) April 22, 2019
Poor Reek. His only saving grave would be if he somehow turned out to be the Azor Ahai.
Pick: Theon Greyjoy (+125)
When Will the First Living Character Be Killed in the Battle of Winterfell?
| When Will the First Living Character Be Killed in the Battle at Winterfell? | Odds |
|---|---|
| 9:15 p.m. ET or Earlier | -115 |
| 9:16 p.m. ET or Later | -115 |
This one is going to take a little bit of math on our part. Here’s a look at the new opening credits:
Granted this is from Episode 1, but once HBO gets things rolling, we can strike two minutes off of our prospective 9:15 EST deadline.
While there’s a little bit of action in the trailer, HBO is keeping all of the awe-inspiring scenes under wraps too.
That’s an awful lot of posturing for an enemy that doesn’t talk.
While the episode will likely center on the battle, it would be very GoT-esque if they cut away to Cersei at some point. If this happened, it would likely be early in the episode.
Pick: 9:16 p.m. or later (-115)
Who Will Be Destroyed First in the Battle of Winterfell?
| Who Will Be Destroyed First in the Battle of Winterfell? | Odds |
|---|---|
| A Member of the Dead | -250 |
| A Member of the Living | +170 |
We’re not going to spend a ton of time on this, because if the Night King is any kind of strategist, it’ll be a member of the undead.
Considering how many Wights they have at their disposal, the likelihood is that they’re all sent to a second (?) death very quickly. Then once the living are exhausted, the White Walkers will swoop in.
Pick: Member of the Dead (-250)
Game of Thrones Head-to-Head Survival Odds
| Character | Odds | Character | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Varys | -130 | Bronn | EVEN |
| Tormund Giantsbane | -300 | Brienne of Tarth | +200 |
| Gilly | -400 | Hot Pie | +250 |
| Euron Greyjoy | -130 | Theon Greyjoy | -110 |
| The Mountain | -400 | The Hound | +250 |
| Melisandre | -400 | Davos Seaworth | +250 |
| Jaime Lannister | -300 | Tyrion Lannister | +200 |
| Jon Snow | -220 | Bran Stark | +155 |
| Arya Stark | -165 | Sansa Stark | +125 |
| Cersei Lannister | -270 | Daenerys Targaryen | +180 |
When we discussed this last week, we figured Tormund and company would arrive during the battle.
Well, they beat the Night King there, and we’re glad they did.
Ladies if he ain't looking at you like Tormund looks at Brienne it aint real #GameofThrones pic.twitter.com/6Z5txXdIw8
— The Last Helldiver (@_ShaneGF) April 22, 2019
To be clear, I don’t want either to die. But if it’s going to be either of them, it’ll be Tormund. Likely saving Brienne in one last chance to win her affection.
We told you last week to go with Davos over Melisandre, and that advice still rings true. His lucky streak of bragging about battles he’s survived with no experience is ending.
https://twitter.com/Supeprime/status/1120302355428335619
Personally, I like Bran as a sneaky head-to-head pick if you believe one of three things.
Either:
- Jon Snow and company are living in the darkest timeline and about to enjoy a long winter
- The world could survive without a Three-Eyed Raven despite Sam thinking otherwise
- Bran dying is what he has planned all along/crucial to saving the world
Who Will Rule Westeros at the End of Game of Thrones?
| Who Will Rule Westeros? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jon Snow | +225 |
| Bran Stark | +300 |
| Sansa Stark | +500 |
| Daenerys Targaryen | +550 |
| Gendry | +650 |
| Night King | +1200 |
| Petyr Baelish | +1400 |
| Samwell Tarly | +1500 |
| Tyrion Lannister | +1500 |
| Arya Stark | +2000 |
| Jon and Dany’s Baby | +2000 |
| Cersei Lannister | +2500 |
Jon’s revelation has him at the top of the list, but we still don’t buy it. Unless he does a full heel turn, he’s not sitting on the Iron Throne.
Kit Harington confirms that #JonSnow has zero interest in the Iron Throne, and finding out his true parentage was 'the most upsetting thing in the world' and if he could go back in time he would say to Sam ‘Whatever you’re about to say, don’t tell me' #GameofThrones
(via @EW) pic.twitter.com/11Tx3KVb1W
— Thrones Facts | HOTD 🐉 (@Thrones_Facts) April 16, 2019
While his sister Sansa is high up on the odds, she seems to have her sights set on ruling the North. Now could she “settle” for Westeros and double cross Daenerys? It definitely seems that way.
Sansa is KILLING it. She put Daenerys in her place, she sided with Brienne and proved her loyalty, and Theon came back to fight for her.
Her character development has been amazing. #GameofThrones
— Deniz S. (@MrFilmkritik) April 22, 2019
But if it came down to it, we still think that either the Night King or Jon and Daenerys’ baby will be sitting on the throne.
For the Night King, it’s very simple. If/when he gets past Bran, he’d essentially be unstoppable, because if he gets past Bran he’s made it through the rest of the North.
When it comes to the baby theory, it’s straightforward.
Dany is eliminated from contention because any Targaryen woman reference has died in child birth. While someone has to rule in the interim, a time jump would leave their child ruling when things fade to black.
When Will Cersei Lannister Perish?
| When Will Cersei Lannister Perish? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Episode 5 or 6 | +500 |
| Episode 3 or 4 | -500 |
| Does Not Perish | +400 |
Well, we’ve been right so far on this, but time is running out.
We knew it wasn’t happening early on. We’ve stood by that since the beginning.
It wasn’t easy enough to stand by through Episode 1, but after the Night King’s army merely progressed to Winterfell, things aren’t looking so rosy.
https://twitter.com/iamqueencersei/status/1120046309963173888
If we scratch off Episode 3, assuming the whole thing is one big battle. Then that leaves four, five and six. We’re willing to bend the knee here. Looks like Cersei is making it to the last two.
Pick: Episode 5 or 6 (+500)
Will the Night King Be Confirmed as a Stark?
| Will the Night King Be Confirmed as a Stark? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | -330 |
| No | +215 |
This is another one that we took a deep dive into before things kicked off. The good news? If you’re with us, the odds have actually improved on “Yes”. With no further character develop on the big, blue baddie, we’re inclined to stay with yes on this.
Everyone: The Night King is going to kill us all.
Bran: The Night King wants me because I'm the three-eyed raven.
Everyone: pic.twitter.com/Kt0fBDSeVW
— Voight (@gg_Voight) April 22, 2019
If you think about it, the Night King being a Stark would mesh well with Bran being the Three-Eyed Raven if they finally get to meet face-to-face.
The Pick: Yes (-330)
What Will Bran Warg into Next?
| What Will Bran Warg into Next? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Raven | +125 |
| Dragon | +250 |
| Wolf | +350 |
| Other | +400 |
| Human | +500 |
To this point, Bran has yet to Warg into anything this season. The last time we saw him use that ability, was at the close of Season 7 when he witnessed the falling of The Wall. With a looming face-to-face with the Night King, it’s fair to wonder if we’ll see it at all.
There’s no need for Ravens anymore, because we know where the White Walkers are.
The Raven has been the favorite for a while. But we’re backing away from it. Think about this: there’s no need for Ravens anymore, because we know where the White Walkers are. Ghost was last seen with Jon and it’s unlikely Bran has any use for him.
But what if Bran tries to Warg into the Night King when they meet again? Or what if he tries to use Theon to his advantage? We jokingly suggested Jaime last week, but Human is a distinct possibility.
And, whatever they count the Night King as, Other may be a worthwhile play too.
Pick: Other (+400) or Human (+500)
Which Dragon Will Be Destroyed Next?
| Which Dragon will Be Destroyed Next? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Rhaegal | -105 |
| Undead Viserion | -105 |
| Drogon | +500 |
This is kind of a strange one.
Namely because Rhaegal and Drogon seem to be in the most danger. With the White Walkers that are present, it’d be pretty simple for one of them to use the two remaining dragons for javelin practice.
https://twitter.com/bk17__/status/899459147971907585
But the easy way is never the way with Game of Thrones. And with just one episode of dragon-riding for Jon, Rhaegal isn’t biting it. Neither is Drogon. So that leaves us with Viserion.
The North has made their plan clear: they want to draw out the Night King. Kill him and the rest will fall. In the event they pull that off, Viserion is a member of “the rest”.
This isn’t a bet that we would go chasing, but if it catches your attention, we lean towards the Night King’s new pet.
Pick: Undead Viserion (-105)
Who Will Win the Cleganebowl?
| Who Wins the Cleganebowl? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Sandor “The Hound” Clegane | -400 |
| Gregor “The Mountain” Clegane | +250 |
| Both Die or are Destroyed | +350 |
It’s about as good as the Super Bowl… but it features just two massive guys. So who wins?
When we first explored these odds, both perishing wasn’t an option. Now it is. And we like it.
What better way for The Hound and The Mountain to go out, than together? Expect The Hound to stay around a touch longer, just to get the last word win, but they’re both going down.
Pick: Both die or are destroyed (+350)
Our Other Game of Thrones Season 8 Coverage:
- Yara Favored to be First Greyjoy to Perish in Game of Thrones Season 8
- Odds Say Arya Will be the First Stark to Perish in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
- Odds to Be Dead at the End of Game of Thrones Season 8: Jon Snow Favored to Survive; Odds Split on Daenerys
- The Mountain Favored to Die Before The Hound in Game of Thrones
- Arya Stark Props: Odds Say Arya Won’t Complete Her Kill List in Season 8 of GoT
- Cersei Lannister Season 8 Props: Odds Say She is Pregnant, Will Be Killed by Arya
- Odds Say Bran Stark is Not the Night King in Game of Thrones
- Game of Thrones Odds: Jon Snow Listed as Favorite to Kill the Ice Dragon
- Head-to-Head Odds to Perish 1st in Game of Thrones Season 8
- Jon Snow or Bran Stark? Odds to Rule Westeros at End of Game of Thrones Season 8
- Yara Greyjoy Favored to Perish First in Game of Thrones Season 8
- Cersei Favored to be First Lannister to Perish in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
- You Can Bet on the First & Last Person to Speak in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
- Odds Say Rhaegal Will Be First Dragon to Perish in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
- Over/Under Number of People Arya Stark Kills in Season 8 Set at 3.5; Odds Say Cersei is First
- You Can Bet on What Bran Stark Will Warg into Next in Game of Thrones Season 8
- Odds Say the Night King Will Be Confirmed as a Stark in Season 8 Game of Thrones
- Odds Favor Jaime Lannister Killing Cersei in Season 8 of Game of Thrones, Arya Listed at 5-2 Odds
- Odds Say Cersei Lannister Won’t Give Birth Birth Before End of Game of Thrones
- Updated Game of Thrones Odds After Episode 1: Odds Jaime Kills Cersei & More
- After Season 8 Premiere, Odds Against Bronn Killing Tyrion in Game of Thrones
- Game of Thrones Battle of Winterfell Odds: How Long Before the First Living Casualty? Who Will Survive?
Sports Writer
Bryan has spent the last decade working in the sports industry. From the sidelines in the OHL and Rugby League to behind the scenes at TSN, Bryan has a wealth of experience with a soft spot for props and parlays.
