2023-24 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker

• Look back to the odds to win the 2023-24 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
• Texans quarterback CJ Stroud won the award, but he was not the favorite when odds opened
• Looking for current NFL OROY odds?

I tracked the 2023 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they opened, through the 2023-2024 NFL season, and right up until the award was handed out. Sports betting apps had opened NFL OROY odds even before the NFL Draft took place, and had Bijan Robinson as the early favorite.

As we know, Robinson did not win the award. CJ Stroud of the Texans had a phenomenal rookie campaign and took home the NFL OROY honors. You can check out the opening odds as well as how the odds changed throughout the offseason, regular season, and right up to closing below. The graphs were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.

Top NFL OROY Contenders

• Top 5
• All

After beating the Steelers in Week 4, CJ Stroud became the new favorite to win NFL MVP and basically ran away with the award. Puka Nacua would make things slightly interesting late in the season, largely because Stroud was forced to miss two games with a concussion. But the Rams receiver couldn’t do enough to take the OROY award from Stroud. It is worth noting that Stroud is the first Houston Texan to ever win Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Even though the NFL Draft odds nailed quarterbacks coming off the board early and often, it was a running back who opened as the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Former Texas running back Bijan Robinson, who was selected eighth-overall by the Falcons, opened with +450 odds and saw those odds improve to +300 after the first round of the draft. He saw his odds fade quickly after a hot start to the season, though, seeing odds as long as +12000.

The AP announced CJ Stroud, Puka Nacua, Jahmyr Gibbs, Sam LaPorta, and Bijan Robisnon as the NFL OROY finalists. Sadly, we did not see NFL OROY odds reopen following the completion of the regular season.

Here are some more notes on odds movement:

• [January 25] CJ Stroud, Puka Nacua, Jahmyr Gibbs, Sam LaPorta, and Bijan Robinson have been named NFL OROY finalists.
• [November 12] Stroud became an extremely heavy favorite with -1000 odds to win NFL OROY after beating the Bengals in Week 10.
• [November 6] CJ Stroud’s 470 passing yards against the Buccaneers in Week 9 is a new single-game rookie record. The Texans QB saw his OROY odds improve from -180 to -500 as a result.
• [October 29] After a second consecutive big game, Jordan Addison has shot up the board and has the third-best odds to win NFL OROY after Week 8. The Vikings receiver has come on strong since Justin Jefferson went down with an injury, but his chances of winning the award may have taken a big hit with his QB Kirk Cousins likely being done for the season now.
• [October 16] CJ Stroud has moved to an odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY after he led the Texans to a win over the Saints. With news of Anthony Richardson potentially considering season-ending surgery, the Colts QB no longer has odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
• [October 9] Following a two-interception game in Week 5, the first-overall pick from the 2023 NFL Draft, Bryce Young, is no longer among the top 20 contenders in NFL OROY odds. Aidan O’Connell had better odds in this moment. Anthony Richardson and De’Von Achane have also fallen way off, moving from +850 to +2000 and +400 to +2500, respectively, due to a injuries that are expected to keep the rookies out for an extended period.
• [October 1] CJ Stroud threw for 306 yards and two touchdowns in the Texans’ upset win over the Steelers in Week 4. As a result, Stroud has taken over as the new favorite to win NFL OROY. Stroud’s odds improved from +450 to +200. Puka Nacua (+425) and De’Von Achane (+450), two guys who were way down the board to start the season, have the next best odds to win the award.
• [September 25] The NFL OROY race has become much closer, according to the odds, after Week 3. Bijan Robinson was relatively quiet in the Falcons’ loss to the Lions, only totaling 60 yards from scrimmage, and saw his odds fade from +175 to +330. Anthony Richardson did not play in Week 3 due to a concussion and his odds went from +225 to +450. CJ Stroud, on the other hand, threw for 280 yards in Houston’s upset win over the Jaguars, and saw his odds improve from +1200 to +450 as a result. The biggest movement, however, came from De’Von Achane, who totaled 233 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns in Miami’s blowout of the Broncos. Achane’s NFL OROY odds went from +5000 to +1000. Quentin Johnston also saw significant movement, going from +7500 to +4500, after it was confirmed fellow Charger Mike Williams would be out for the rest of the season. The assumption is Johnston will see plenty more opportunity now in an elite passing offense.
• [September 18] Bijan Robinson exploded in Week 2 with 172 yards from scrimmage in helping lead Atlanta to a win over the Packers. Robinson’s NFL OROY odds improved from +250 to +175. In spite of only playing one quarter in Week 2, Anthony Richardson’s odds also improved, going from +500 to +225. The Colts’ QB did score two rushing touchdowns before leaving the game with a concussion. Puka Nacua continues to impress in LA and now has the third-best odds to win OROY. Nacua went from +4000 to +700 after Week 2.
• [September 11] Anthony Richardson has the second-best odds to win NFL OROY after Week 1. Richardson put forth an encouraging effort and threw for a touchdown while adding one on the ground as well. He overtook Bryce Young for the second-best odds after Young’s odds faded from +500 to +700 after throwing two interceptions in his debut. The biggest moves came from Ravens WR Zay Flowers, who improved from +1800 to +1100 after catching nine balls for 78 yards, and Puka Nacua, who went from extremely long +15000 odds to +4000 after hauling in ten catches for 119 yards.
• [September 5] Jaxon Smith-Njigba has seen his odds fade from +1500 to +2000 after suffering a wrist injury in Seattle’s second preseason game. JSN’s status for Week 1 is currently looking doubtful. Zay Flowers’ NFL OROY odds are moving in the other direction after dazzling throughout camp. Flowers saw his odds improve from +3000 to +1800.
• [June 2] With positive reports coming out of Colts camp about Anthony Richardson, the QB has seen his OROY odds improve from +900 to +600, the third-best odds on the board.
• [April 28] Bijan Robinson, who was already the favorite to win NFL OROY, saw his odds improve from +450 to +300 after being drafted eighth-overall by the Atlanta Falcons. Robinson joins an offense that rushed for the third-most yards per game and fourth-most yards per carry last season. Jaxon Smith-Njigba also saw positive movement after he was drafted by the Seahawks, seeing his odds go from +1000 to +650. Will Levis, who was not taken in the first round, saw his odds fade from +1200 to +2500 with him now likely joining a team where he will play backup for at least a year.
• [April 21] Just less than a week before the NFL Draft, we saw sportsbooks open NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. All sportsbooks opened running back Bijan Robinson as the favorite with quarterback Bryce Young close behind.

Top Contenders at Each Position

• QBs
• RBs
• WRs
• TEs

Bryce Young, Bijan Robinson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Michael Mayer opened as the favorites at their respective positions. Though Robinson was named a finalist, none of these players finished as the top contenders at their respective positions – Jahmyr Gibbs finished with better odds than Robinson.

Top Contenders by Draft Round

• 1st Round
• 2nd Round